Sivasspor vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
15/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.840.41
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
60
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
96
Passes
80% (304/381)79% (307/388)
Yellow cards
50
Expected goals (xG)
0.840.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.700.00
Total shots
118
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
25
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
77
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free kicks
713
Passes
80% (304/381)79% (307/388)
Long passes
50% (34/68)40% (18/45)
Passes in final third
64% (84/131)64% (51/80)
Crosses
31% (8/26)25% (5/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.440.33
Throw ins
2629
Fouls
137
Tackles
85% (22/26)81% (17/21)
Duels won
4454
Clearances
2431
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.000.70
Goals prevented
0.000.70

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Manaj R. , Boke T. ,
  • 34', Fidan K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Glumac T. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Hoti E. , Goksu S. ,
  • 59', Ekincier B. , Kosoko T. ,
  • 62', Celik C. 🟨,
  • 65', Gokay E. , Malle A. ,
  • 65', Charisis C. , Avramovski D. ,
  • 75', Bardhi J. , Sas Y. D. ,
  • 75', Djokanovic A. , Aktas K. ,
  • 80', Celik C. , Kesgin K. ,
  • 85', Ciftci U. 🟨,
  • 88', Boke T. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Kesgin K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sivasspor
55.8%
Draw
24.9%
Umraniyespor
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.5% 25.5% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • Sivasspor - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.8)
    3.72
    (3.63)
    4.82
    (4.04)
    8%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Umraniyespor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Umraniyespor (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Sivasspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sivasspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 15).
    • Sivasspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Umraniyespor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Sivasspor is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Bulbul A. T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Sivasspor: Celik M. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sivasspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sivasspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sivasspor - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Umraniyespor - Sivasspor 1:0
    07.05.2023 Umraniyespor - Sivasspor 4:1
    12.11.2022 Sivasspor - Umraniyespor 2:2
    Latest results of Sivasspor
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    11.03.2026 Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor 3:1
    06.03.2026 Sarıyer - Umraniyespor 1:2
    22.02.2026 Çorum - Umraniyespor 2:0
    17.02.2026 Umraniyespor - Boluspor 4:2
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to