Hebar Pazardzhik vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 34
  • Referee: Markov M. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
815
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
212
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
815
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
13
Corner Kicks
212
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
1710
Throw-ins
2032
Fouls
913
Goalkeeper Saves
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Nikolaev N. , Penchev B. (A),
  • 31', Iliev D. (Pen),
  • 35', Segura J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', Perea J. , Bizjak L. ,
  • 51', Abreu D. , Ali E. ,
  • 53', Rusinov I. , Dunnwald-Turan K. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Ali E. ,
  • 72', 1 - 2, Iliev D. , Bizjak L. (A),
  • 74', Nikolaev N. , Markelo N. ,
  • 74', Vukovic D. , Ushagelov T. ,
  • 82', Cavar B. , Kondrakov D. ,
  • 83', N'Zi J. , Metanov N. ,
  • 86', Tsonkov S. 🟨,
  • 87', Lamy J. , Andreev P. ,
  • 90', Ivanov I. , Haydarov M. ,
  • 90', Iliev D. , Pavlov T. ,
  • 90+3', Rosa M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hebar Pazardzhik
13.5%
Draw
21.1%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.5% 25.5% 52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2% 23.7% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hebar Pazardzhik's form might have worsened.
  • Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Plovdiv's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hebar Pazardzhik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-17%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.97
    (4.15)
    4.42
    (3.66)
    1.45
    (1.79)
    6.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
  • Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 2.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Hebar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is a strong favorite.
    • There are questionable in Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Peshov K. (Knee Injury) Umarbaev P. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hebar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hebar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv were as follows:
    03.04.2025 Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0:0
    13.09.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik 3:3
    24.02.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik 1:2
    25.08.2023 Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3:4
    14.01.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik 0:1
    Latest results of Hebar Pazardzhik
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia31234467:234473
    2CSKA 1948 Sofia31195752:322062
    3Ludogorets31179558:223660
    4CSKA Sofia31168744:261856

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