Paderborn vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 10
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.730.71
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
73
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
65
Passes
82% (332/403)79% (258/326)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.730.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.760.18
Total shots
157
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
43
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
4314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free kicks
1416
Passes
82% (332/403)79% (258/326)
Long passes
55% (24/44)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
70% (101/144)58% (30/52)
Crosses
44% (7/16)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.50
Throw ins
2227
Fouls
1614
Tackles
68% (21/31)43% (6/14)
Duels won
7358
Clearances
2229
Interceptions
188
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.182.76
Goals prevented
-0.820.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Klaas S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Curda L. ,
  • 31', Janisch T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Janisch T. , Grimaldi A. ,
  • 52', Lubach R. 🟥,
  • 57', Markhiev A. 🟨,
  • 65', Scobel P. , Maboulou N. ,
  • 65', Justvan J. , Nzingoula R. ,
  • 66', Tigges S. , Marino S. ,
  • 66', Michel S. , Batzner N. ,
  • 75', 2 - 1, Lochoshvili L. , Yilmaz B. (A),
  • 75', Klaas S. , Copado L. ,
  • 79', Obermair R. 🟨,
  • 83', Becker F. O. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Marino S. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Castaneda S. , Kinsombi D. ,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
48.2%
Draw
26.2%
Nürnberg
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.8% 25.2% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Paderborn - Nürnberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.82)
    3.57
    (3.67)
    3.67
    (3.86)
    6.5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Paderborn - Nürnberg?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Nürnberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Paderborn is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Inactive) Brackelmann C. (Concussion) Hansen M. (Red Card) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Gruber F. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Paderborn: Okpala K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nürnberg: Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Nürnberg were as follows:
    29.08.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:0
    19.04.2025 Nürnberg - Paderborn 2:3
    22.11.2024 Paderborn - Nürnberg 3:2
    19.04.2024 Nürnberg - Paderborn 0:2
    11.11.2023 Paderborn - Nürnberg 1:3
    Latest results of Paderborn
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    23.01.2026 Darmstadt - Nürnberg 2:0
    17.01.2026 Nürnberg - Elversberg 3:2
    21.12.2025 Nürnberg - Hannover 2:1
    14.12.2025 Schalke 04 - Nürnberg 1:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga