Result
2:1
25/02/2023 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 20
Chances of winning
Belenenses
67.4% | Draw
19.9% | Moncarapachense
12.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belenenses's performance.Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moncarapachense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belenenses that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Belenenses - Moncarapachense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.67) |
4.63 ↑
(3.24) |
7.26 ↑
(5.1) |
8.6%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Belenenses - Moncarapachense?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Belenenses will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Moncarapachense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Moncarapachense is Liga 3 (Relegation Group)
- Recent matches Belenenses is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Moncarapachense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Belenenses is indisputable favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.
- Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Moncarapachense?
Belenenses has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moncarapachense won against Belenenses?
Moncarapachense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Moncarapachense were as follows:
13.11.2022
Moncarapachense
-
Belenenses
0:2
Latest results of Belenenses
Latest results of Moncarapachense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 8 |
| 2 | Braga B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Amarante | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Paredes | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | AD Fafe | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Caldas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Amora | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Academica | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Atletico CP | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Mafra | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Santarem | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Covilha | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
