Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        12/05/2024 at  13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 13
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 34', 1 - 0, Costa J. ⚽, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 1)
 - 46', Tavares A. ↓, Lourenco F. ↑, 
 - 46', Resende J. ↓, Seco H. ↑, 
 - 46', 2 - 0, Costa J. ⚽, 
 - 51', Dias R. 🟨, 
 - 64', Pires M. ↓, Pinto G. ↑, 
 - 64', Silva R. ↓, Sagna P. ↑, 
 - 68', Teles D. 🟨, 
 - 73', Martins D. ↓, Lucas J. ↑, 
 - 73', Vitor Bruno ↓, Hachadi K. ↑, 
 - 77', Perea J. ↓, Victor J. ↑, 
 - 85', 2 - 1, Henrique L. (Pen), 
 - 87', Xico ↓, Gomes V. ↑, 
 - 87', Gabriel V. ↓, Veiga T. ↑, 
 - 88', Oliveira A. 🟨, 
 - 88',  🟨, 
 - 88',  🟨, 
 - 89',  🟨, 
 - 90+1', Costa J. ↓, Harramiz S. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Alverca  40.3% | Draw  28.6% | Académica Coimbra  31.1% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Alverca - Académica Coimbra Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.28 ↑ (2.16) | 
			   3.21 ↓ (3.26) | 
			   2.95 ↓ (3.22) | 
			   9% (8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 5). 
 - Alverca is Qualified for Liga Portugal 2 
 - Alverca in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4). 
 - Recent matches Académica is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Académica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. 
 - Alverca will have a poor advantage in this game.
 - Last 5 head-to-head matches Alverca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Académica Coimbra?
                    
                    
                        
                            Alverca has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Académica Coimbra won against Alverca?
                    
                    
                        
                             Académica Coimbra has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Académica Coimbra were as follows:
                                                        
                                16.03.2024 
                                Académica Coimbra 
                                - 
                                Alverca 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.11.2023 
                                Académica Coimbra 
                                - 
                                Alverca 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                12.08.2023 
                                Alverca 
                                - 
                                Académica Coimbra 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.02.2023 
                                Académica Coimbra 
                                - 
                                Alverca 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.11.2022 
                                Alverca 
                                - 
                                Académica Coimbra 
                                4:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alverca                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Académica Coimbra                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Trofense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 | 
| 2 | Braga B | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 15 | 
| 3 | Varzim | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 13 | 
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 | 
| 5 | AD Fafe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 | 
| 6 | Amarante | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 | 
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 8 | Paredes | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 | 
| 9 | AD Marco 09 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 | 
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 8 | 
Group B |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Mafra | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 | 
| 2 | Caldas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 18 | 
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 | 
| 4 | Academica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 | 
| 5 | Amora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 | 
| 6 | Santarem | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 11 | 
| 7 | Atletico CP | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 | 
| 8 | Lusitano GC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 | 
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 | 
| 10 | Covilha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )