Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
05/10/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 24
  • Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.65
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
86% (441/512)78% (245/316)
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.971.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.591.70
Total shots
1813
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
3916
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2410
Passes
86% (441/512)78% (245/316)
Long passes
58% (30/52)33% (16/49)
Passes in final third
70% (99/141)63% (55/88)
Crosses
18% (4/22)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.23
Throw-ins
149
Fouls
1024
Tackles
47% (8/17)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5841
Clearances
1430
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.702.59
Goals prevented
-1.300.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 42', Vaananen S. , Zeidan M. ,
  • 45+1', 0 - 1, Sorli S. , Opoku M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Islamovic D. ,
  • 54', Reinhardsen P. , Wichne E. ,
  • 62', Karlsbakk D. 🟨,
  • 66', Duris D. , Saeter O. ,
  • 66', Pereira A. , Jenssen U. ,
  • 66', Opoku M. , Sanyang A. ,
  • 66', Halvorsen V. E. , Christiansen S. ,
  • 66', Nibe A. , Job D. ,
  • 72', Wichne E. 🟨,
  • 79', 1 - 2, Christiansen S. ,
  • 82', Zeidan M. 🟥,
  • 86', 2 - 2, Islamovic D. (Pen),
  • 87', 2 - 3, Sorli S. ,
  • 88', Sorli S. , Trondsen A. ,
  • 90+6', Jeahze M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rosenborg
56.3%
Draw
22.2%
Sarpsborg 08
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 21.3% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7% 23.7% 18.6%

Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.64)
4.27
(4.48)
4.43
(4.6)
5.5%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08?
  • Users Predictions: Rosenborg will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rosenborg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 0.
    • Recent performances by Rosenborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sarpsborg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rosenborg has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Rosenborg is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Rosenborg: Ceide M. K. (Red Card) Jenssen U. (Injury) Sahsah N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:35. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg 2:2
    25.06.2025 Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 2:3
    23.11.2024 Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 1:1
    12.07.2024 Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg 4:1
    08.10.2023 Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg 5:2
    Latest results of Rosenborg
    24.09.2025 Haugesund - Rosenborg 1:4
    21.09.2025 Rosenborg - Bodø Glimt 1:1
    14.09.2025 Haugesund - Rosenborg 0:3
    Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Viking ✔ 29215372:353768
    2Bodo/Glimt ✔ 29214480:285267
    3Tromso29173947:351254
    4Brann29165852:45753
    5Sandefjord291431253:421145
    6Valerenga291341248:45343
    7Fredrikstad29119938:30842
    8Molde291231446:41539
    9Rosenborg291091039:42-339
    10Sarpsborg 08291081147:50-338
    11HamKam291071241:44-337
    12KFUM Oslo298111042:39335
    13Kristiansund29971333:56-2334
    14Bryne29771533:55-2228
    15Stromsgodset ✔ 29622137:66-2920
    16Haugesund ✔ 29232421:76-559

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Eliteserien (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Viking is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Bodo/Glimt is Qualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    Stromsgodset is Relegated to OBOS~ligaen
    Haugesund is Relegated to OBOS~ligaen