Result
2:1
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Championship - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Chances of winning
Ards
41.5% | Draw
26.6% | Newington
32% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ards's performance.Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ards than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ards that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ards - Newington Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.7) |
3.42 ↓
(3.67) |
2.85 ↑
(2.19) |
10%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ards won 1.
- Ards has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Newington has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ards won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ards won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ards won against Newington?
Ards has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newington won against Ards?
Newington has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ards - Newington were as follows:
17.01.2026
Newington
-
Ards
2:0
04.10.2025
Newington
-
Ards
0:3
22.02.2025
Ards
-
Newington
1:1
02.11.2024
Newington
-
Ards
2:2
13.04.2024
Ards
-
Newington
1:1
Latest results of Newington
Northern Irish Championship Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Institute | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 49:44 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 | Ards | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 44:50 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 34 |
| 11 | Dundela | 35 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 39:75 | -36 | 23 |
| 12 | Armagh | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 28:100 | -72 | 18 |
NIFL Championship (Relegation)
Relegation
