Result
67:63
02/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EuroBasket - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Czech-republic | CT sport |
 Finland | Ruutu+ |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 Serbia | SportKlub 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, RTVE Play, Teledeporte |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Court Side 1891 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 61 | 61 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 37.7% | 32.8% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 50% | 43.5% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 29 | 38 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 24.1% | 26.3% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 73.7% | 59.1% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 44 | 39 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
Chances of winning
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Italy - Spain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.79) |
|
2.06 ↑
(2.03) |
3.7%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 155.50The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
What is the prediction for Italy - Spain?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Italy will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Spain will win (votes: 18 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 42.5% – 77.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Italy (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Spain (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:77.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Italy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 494:486. (average 82.3:81).
How many head-to-head matches has Italy won against Spain?
Italy has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spain won against Italy?
Spain has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Italy - Spain were as follows:
25.06.2024
Spain
-
Italy
84:87
26.02.2023
Spain
-
Italy
68:72
11.11.2022
Italy
-
Spain
84:88
EuroBasket Table
Final tournamentGroup A | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Turkey ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 459:359 | 10 |
| 2 | Serbia ✔ | 5 | 4 | 1 | 434:368 | 9 |
| 3 | Latvia ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 412:384 | 8 |
| 4 | Portugal ✔ | 5 | 2 | 3 | 315:368 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 5 | 1 | 4 | 352:397 | 6 |
| 6 | Czech Republic | 5 | 0 | 5 | 338:434 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Germany ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 529:365 | 10 |
| 2 | Lithuania ✔ | 5 | 4 | 1 | 431:393 | 9 |
| 3 | Finland ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 426:406 | 8 |
| 4 | Sweden | 5 | 1 | 4 | 403:418 | 6 |
| 5 | Montenegro | 5 | 1 | 4 | 378:455 | 6 |
| 6 | Great Britain | 5 | 1 | 4 | 354:484 | 6 |
Group C | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Greece ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 342:268 | 7 |
| 2 | Italy ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 307:279 | 7 |
| 3 | Spain | 4 | 2 | 2 | 311:264 | 6 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 2 | 2 | 291:302 | 6 |
| 5 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 317:325 | 6 |
| 6 | Cyprus | 4 | 0 | 4 | 241:371 | 4 |
Group D | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Israel ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 321:295 | 7 |
| 2 | Poland ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 331:317 | 7 |
| 3 | France ✔ | 4 | 3 | 1 | 347:317 | 7 |
| 4 | Slovenia ✔ | 4 | 2 | 2 | 363:356 | 6 |
| 5 | Belgium | 4 | 1 | 3 | 293:334 | 5 |
| 6 | Iceland | 4 | 0 | 4 | 289:325 | 4 |
Promotion ~ EuroBasket (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Turkey is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Serbia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Latvia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Portugal is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Germany is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Lithuania is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Finland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Greece is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Italy is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Israel is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Poland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
France is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Slovenia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
