Result
1:0
25/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 28
- Referee: Belence P. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/416) | 73% (199/273) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/416) | 73% (199/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (48/69) | 26% (14/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (81/126) | 52% (51/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Kaua Diniz 🟨,
- 34', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Danielzinho ↓, Jean Dias ↑,
- 46', Dudu Marques ↓, Heron ↑,
- 56', Julio Cesar 🟨,
- 67', Stenio ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
- 67', Arthur Sousa ↓, David da Hora ↑,
- 70', Martinez F. ↓, Maranhao ↑,
- 70', Robert Conceicao ↓, Kelvin ↑,
- 73', Miguelito 🟨,
- 78', Miguelito ↓, Yago Santos ↑,
- 80', Felipe Amaral 🟨,
- 83', Yuri Alves ↓, Talisson ↑,
- 89', Yago Souza ↓, Emerson Santos ↑,
- 90', Felipe Amaral ↓, Aloisio ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Lele ⚽, Talisson (A),
Chances of winning
Atlético Goianiense
49.1% | Draw
28.2% | América Mineiro
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(1.92) |
3.35 ↑
(3.25) |
4.19 ↑
(3.95) |
6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). América MG will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético GO: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético GO (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 0.
- Atlético GO is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- América MG's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Atlético GO is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético GO: Guilherme Romao
(Yellow Cards)
Jorginho
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kauan Rodrigues
(Yellow Cards)
Radsley
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Dalbert
(Injury)
Fabinho
(Ankle Injury)
Guilherme Pato
(Injury)
Heber
(Injury)
Jhosefer
(Injury)
Maguinho
(Injury)
Mariano
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Atlético GO: Guilherme Romao
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Goianiense won against América Mineiro?
Atlético Goianiense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América Mineiro won against Atlético Goianiense?
América Mineiro has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro were as follows:
27.05.2025
América Mineiro
-
Atlético Goianiense
2:1
13.11.2022
América Mineiro
-
Atlético Goianiense
1:1
Latest results of Atlético Goianiense
Latest results of América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Avai | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Botafogo SP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Nautico | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Londrina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Sao Bernardo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Criciuma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Novorizontino | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 |
| 17 | Ponte Preta | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | America MG | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 19 | Juventude | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Atletico GO | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
