Result
1:1
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 22
- Referee: Hallam F. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (319/414) | 76% (299/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (319/414) | 76% (299/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/71) | 27% (17/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (81/129) | 57% (53/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Lang C. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
- 42', Dozzell A. 🟨,
- 44', Brewster R. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Matthews H. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Murphy J. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
- 66', Chaplin C. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
- 66', Kosznovszky M. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
- 68', Brewster R. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
- 77', Brereton Diaz B. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Derby County
48.1% | Draw
28.2% | Portsmouth
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Derby County - Portsmouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.92) |
3.38 ↑
(3.31) |
4.01 ↑
(3.95) |
4.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Portsmouth?
Users Predictions:
Derby County will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Derby County will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
- In recent matches, Derby has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Portsmouth has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Derby might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Inactive)
Johnston M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Morris C.
(Ankle Injury)
Ozoh D.
(Injury)
Travis L.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Farrell J.
(Groin Injury)
Ogilvie C.
(Knee Injury)
Poole R.
(Ankle Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Matthews H.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Portsmouth?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Derby County?
Portsmouth has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Portsmouth were as follows:
12.04.2025
Portsmouth
-
Derby County
2:2
13.12.2024
Derby County
-
Portsmouth
4:0
02.04.2024
Portsmouth
-
Derby County
2:2
16.09.2023
Derby County
-
Portsmouth
1:1
18.11.2022
Portsmouth
-
Derby County
0:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Portsmouth
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 54:25 | 29 | 51 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 43 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Hull | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 40:37 | 3 | 41 |
| 5 | Millwall | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 27:32 | -5 | 39 |
| 6 | Watford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34:29 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Preston | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 9 | QPR | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
| 10 | Stoke | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 11 | Wrexham | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leicester | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34:34 | 0 | 34 |
| 13 | Southampton | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 32 |
| 14 | Derby | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 32 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:31 | 1 | 31 |
| 16 | West Brom | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:32 | -4 | 31 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 29 |
| 18 | Swansea | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 25:31 | -6 | 29 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 20 | Charlton | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 27 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 22 |
| 23 | Norwich | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 21 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 18:45 | -27 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
