Ässät U20 vs Lukko U20 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SM-sarja U20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 12:43, 1 - 0, Kim A. (G), Aijala E. (A), Eskola P. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 14:02, 1 - 1, Floris J. (G), Tuuva L. (A), Valila A. (A2)
  • 18:48, 2 - 1, Leppanen H. (G), Ylitalo O. (A), Jussila E. (A2)

Chances of winning


Ässät U20
42.1%
Draw
22.9%
Lukko U20
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 21.1% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 21.5% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ässät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ässät U20's form might have worsened.
  • Lukko U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukko U20's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät U20 than the current prediction. (+13.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ässät U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukko U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ässät U20 - Lukko U20 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (1.63)
    4.11
    (4.36)
    2.69
    (4.1)
    6.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • Ässät U20 is Qualified for SM~sarja U20 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 2.
    • Ässät U20 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lukko U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Ässät U20 is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 60:60. (average 3:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ässät U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät U20 - Lukko U20 were as follows:
    11.02.2026 Lukko U20 - Ässät U20 5:4
    12.09.2025 Lukko U20 - Ässät U20 2:1
    05.09.2025 Ässät U20 - Lukko U20 2:1
    21.12.2024 Ässät U20 - Lukko U20 3:1
    07.12.2024 Ässät U20 - Lukko U20 1:4
    Latest results of Ässät U20
    Latest results of Lukko U20
    28.02.2026 Lukko U20 - KooKoo U20 4:1
    27.02.2026 Lukko U20 - HIFK U20 1:3
    21.02.2026 SaiPa U20 - Lukko U20 1:5
    20.02.2026 KooKoo U20 - Lukko U20 4:3
    14.02.2026 HPK U20 - Lukko U20 2:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Ilves U20 (1)Bye
    2Kiekko-Espoo U20 (5)KalPa U20 (12)1 : 0
    3Assat U20 (3)Bye
    4Hameenlinna U20 (8)TPS U20 (9)2 : 0
    5Pelicans Lahti U20 (2)Bye
    6Jukurit U20 (7)Karpat U20 (10)0 : 1
    7Jyvaskyla U20 (4)Bye
    8Tappara U20 (6)IFK Helsinki U20 (11)0 : 1