Result
1:0
29/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mortágua
44.1% | Draw
31.8% | Marinhense
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mortágua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Mortágua - Marinhense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.91) |
2.84 ↓
(3.03) |
3.75 ↓
(4.08) |
10.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mortágua won 4.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Mortágua is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mortágua won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mortágua won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mortágua won against Marinhense?
Mortágua has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against Mortágua?
Marinhense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mortágua - Marinhense were as follows:
14.09.2025
Marinhense
-
Mortágua
0:1
02.03.2025
Marinhense
-
Mortágua
0:1
03.11.2024
Mortágua
-
Marinhense
1:0
04.02.2024
Marinhense
-
Mortágua
2:0
01.10.2023
Mortágua
-
Marinhense
2:1
Latest results of Mortágua
Latest results of Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 33:10 | 23 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 36:13 | 23 | 47 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 42:22 | 20 | 46 |
| 4 | Naval 1893 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 45 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Os Marialvas | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Mortagua | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 21:25 | -4 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Lajense | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Peniche | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 27 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23:33 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 | Marinhense ✔ | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 32:60 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 23:43 | -20 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Marinhense is Relegated to
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
