Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan State Spartans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5 OT
31/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)

Chances of winning


Penn State Nittany Lions
36.3%
Draw
22.5%
Michigan State Spartans
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 22.1% 43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 24.9% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penn State Nittany Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Michigan State Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penn State Nittany Lions that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michigan State Spartans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.65)
    4.02
    (4.1)
    2.2
    (2.07)
    10.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 2.
    • Penn State is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Michigan State is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Penn State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Penn State won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 37:61. (average 2.6:4.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Penn State won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:42. (average 3:5.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans were as follows:
    30.01.2026 Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans 3:6
    08.11.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions 5:0
    07.11.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions 2:1
    22.02.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions 2:3
    21.02.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions 2:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesBentley Falcons5 : 1
    2Minnesota Duluth BulldogsPenn State Nittany Lions3 : 1
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks3 : 1
    4Denver PioneersCornell Big Red5 : 0
    5Michigan State SpartansConnecticut Huskies2 : 1
    6Dartmouth Big GreenWisconsin Badgers1 : 5
    7North Dakota Fighting HawksMerrimack Warriors3 : 0
    8Providence FriarsQuinnipiac Bobcats2 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesMinnesota Duluth Bulldogs4 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosDenver Pioneers2 : 6
    3Michigan State SpartansWisconsin Badgers3 : 4
    4North Dakota Fighting HawksQuinnipiac Bobcats5 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesDenver Pioneers
    2Wisconsin BadgersNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2