Result
89:85
14/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NBB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Marques Inchauspe R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field Goals Attempted |
|---|
| 62 | 59 |
| Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Field Goals % |
|---|
| 45.2% | 45.8% |
| 2-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 28 | 31 |
| 2-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| 2-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 53.6% | 58.1% |
| 3-Point Field G. Attempted |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| 3-Point Field Goals Made |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| 3-Point Field Goals % |
|---|
| 38.2% | 32.1% |
| Free Throws Attempted |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Free Throws Made |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Free Throws % |
|---|
| 69% | 78.6% |
| Offensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Defensive Rebounds |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Total Rebounds |
|---|
| 39 | 34 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Personal Fouls |
|---|
| 27 | 26 |
Chances of winning
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bauru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Bauru - São Paulo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.34) |
|
3.2 ↑
(3.05) |
7.5%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 154.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
Preview Facts
- Bauru leads series 2-0. 3rd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bauru won 4.
- Bauru is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- São Paulo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Bauru is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Bauru will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bauru won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1397:1460. (average 77.6:81.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bauru won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 704:688. (average 78.2:76.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Bauru won against São Paulo?
Bauru has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Bauru?
São Paulo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bauru - São Paulo were as follows:
12.05.2025
Bauru
-
São Paulo
84:67
09.05.2025
São Paulo
-
Bauru
85:96
11.01.2025
Bauru
-
São Paulo
75:73
26.10.2024
São Paulo
-
Bauru
78:68
06.01.2024
São Paulo
-
Bauru
89:93
Latest results of São Paulo
Brazilian NBB Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Franca | 35 | 29 | 6 | 3176:2698 | 0.829 |
| 2 | Pinheiros | 36 | 29 | 7 | 3077:2684 | 0.806 |
| 3 | Minas | 35 | 27 | 8 | 3074:2879 | 0.771 |
| 4 | Brasilia | 36 | 27 | 9 | 2929:2587 | 0.750 |
| 5 | Flamengo | 35 | 25 | 10 | 3037:2754 | 0.714 |
| 6 | Corinthians Paulista | 35 | 25 | 10 | 2973:2767 | 0.714 |
| 7 | Paulistano | 35 | 22 | 13 | 2918:2734 | 0.629 |
| 8 | Bauru | 36 | 21 | 15 | 2949:2845 | 0.583 |
| 9 | Sao Jose | 35 | 20 | 15 | 2886:2824 | 0.571 |
| 10 | Mogi | 35 | 19 | 16 | 2663:2480 | 0.543 |
| 11 | Unifacisa | 35 | 18 | 17 | 2851:2809 | 0.514 |
| 12 | Uniao Corinthians | 35 | 18 | 17 | 2781:2845 | 0.514 |
| 13 | Caxias do Sul | 35 | 16 | 19 | 2587:2687 | 0.457 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 11 | 23 | 2699:2906 | 0.324 |
| 15 | Rio Claro | 36 | 11 | 25 | 2810:3087 | 0.306 |
| 16 | Botafogo | 35 | 10 | 25 | 2547:2871 | 0.286 |
| 17 | Pato | 34 | 7 | 27 | 2474:2713 | 0.206 |
| 18 | Cearense | 36 | 7 | 29 | 2762:3206 | 0.194 |
| 19 | Vasco | 35 | 5 | 30 | 2467:2825 | 0.143 |
| 20 | Osasco | 36 | 5 | 31 | 2737:3196 | 0.139 |
Promotion ~ NBB (Play Offs: )
