Germany U21 vs Italy U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Euro U21 Germany U21 - Italy U21
Result
3:2 ET
22/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euro U21 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2, New World Sport App
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaJoyn
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 1
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
denmarkDenmarkTV3, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyJoyn, Ran, SAT1
greeceGreeceERT 3
hungaryHungaryDuna World / M4 Sport +, M4 Sport
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsraelSport 1, Sport 4
italyItalyRAI 1, RaiPlay
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 1
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaPro Arena, Voyo
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainRTVE Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomChannel 4
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.951.15
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
87% (590/676)78% (375/482)
Yellow Cards
19
Red Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.951.15
xG on target (xGOT)
2.051.59
Total shots
2113
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
4516
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
2115
Passes
87% (590/676)78% (375/482)
Long passes
44% (20/45)37% (27/73)
Passes in final third
81% (158/196)61% (95/155)
Crosses
24% (9/38)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.480.82
Throw-ins
2718
Fouls
1521
Tackles
46% (11/24)52% (12/23)
Duels won
7276
Clearances
3248
Interceptions
97
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.592.05
Goals prevented
-0.41-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 16', Pirola L. 🟨,
  • 28', Koleosho L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Koleosho L. ,
  • 62', Tresoldi N. , Weiper N. ,
  • 62', Gruda B. , Knauff A. ,
  • 62', Nebel P. , Rohl M. ,
  • 63', Gnonto W. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Woltemade N. , Reitz R. (A),
  • 71', Koleosho L. , Casadei C. ,
  • 81', Gnonto W. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Weiper N. , Woltemade N. (A),
  • 88', Ndour C. , Pisilli N. ,
  • 88', Ruggeri M. , Ambrosino G. ,
  • 90', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90', Zanotti M. 🟨,
  • 90', Prati M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Brown N. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, Ambrosino G. ,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Rosenfelder M. , Oermann T. ,
  • 91', Prati M. , Kayode M. ,
  • 100', Collins N. , Baum E. ,
  • 102', Fabbian G. , Fazzini J. ,
  • 102', Pirola L. , Turicchia R. ,
  • 114', Martel E. , Wanner P. ,
  • 117', 3 - 2, Rohl M. , Brown N. (A),
  • 120', Kayode M. 🟨,
  • 120+1', Casadei C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Germany U21
49.9%
Draw
26.3%
Italy U21
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.3% 27.8% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Germany U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Germany U21's performance.
  • Italy U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Italy U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Germany U21 - Italy U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (2.25)
    3.54
    (3.51)
    3.95
    (3.37)
    6.6%
    (2.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Germany U21 - Italy U21?
  • Users Predictions: Germany U21 will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.01%96.51%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Germany U21 will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Germany U21 is Qualified for Euro U21 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Italy U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Germany U21 is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Germany U21 - Italy U21 were as follows:
    19.11.2022 Italy U21 - Germany U21 2:4
    Latest results of Germany U21
    Latest results of Italy U21
    17.06.2025 Spain U21 - Italy U21 1:1
    14.06.2025 Slovakia U21 - Italy U21 0:1
    11.06.2025 Italy U21 - Romania U21 1:0
    24.03.2025 Italy U21 - Denmark U21 1:1
    UEFA Euro U21 Table
    2027

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Spain U2133008:269
    2Romania U2132104:047
    3Finland U21320113:2116
    4Kosovo U2131118:354
    5Cyprus U2130030:10-100
    6San Marino U2130030:16-160


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugal U21440021:02112
    2Czech Republic U21430110:379
    3Bulgaria U2142116:517
    4Scotland U21411215:784
    5Azerbaijan U2140224:14-102
    6Gibraltar U2140041:28-270


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Faroe Islands U2153026:11-59
    2Switzerland U2132105:147
    3France U21220012:1116
    4Iceland U2141214:405
    5Estonia U2150235:13-82
    6Luxembourg U2130123:5-21


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Slovakia U21431010:4610
    2England U2133007:079
    3Ireland U2132105:327
    4Moldova U2151046:11-53
    5Kazakhstan U2131021:3-23
    6Andorra U2161051:9-83


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Poland U21440015:01512
    2Italy U21440012:21012
    3Montenegro U2142026:606
    4North Macedonia U2141034:8-43
    5Sweden U2141033:12-93
    6Armenia U2140042:14-120


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Greece U2133009:279
    2Germany U2132019:456
    3Georgia U2131207:255
    4Northern Ireland U2131114:314
    5Latvia U2130121:7-61
    6Malta U2130030:12-120


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bosnia & Herzegovina U2131202:025
    2Norway U2111005:053
    3Israel U2130303:303
    4Netherlands U2120202:202
    5Slovenia U2130121:8-71


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Turkey U2131204:225
    2Croatia U2121102:114
    3Ukraine U2131117:434
    4Hungary U2130305:503
    5Lithuania U2130121:7-61


    Group I
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Belgium U21321010:197
    2Austria U2131114:5-14
    3Denmark U2131117:524
    4Wales U2131024:13-93
    5Belarus U2120113:4-11


    Ranking of second-placed teams
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Italy U2133007:169
    2Switzerland U2132105:147
    3Czech Republic U2132018:266
    4England U2122006:066
    5Germany U2132019:456
    6Romania U2121102:024
    7Croatia U2121102:114
    8Austria U2131114:5-14
    9Norway U2111005:053

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