Springfield Thunderbirds vs Charlotte Checkers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:1
28/02/2026 at 18:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2519
Shooting PCT
20% (5/25)5.26% (1/19)
Goalkeeper Saves
1820
Saves PCT
94.74% (18/19)80% (20/25)
Penalties
56
PIM
1012
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)83.33% (5/6)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 02:20, 1 - 0, Dean Z. (G), McGing H. (A), Wagner C. (A2)
  • 18:57, 2 - 0, Rosen C. (G), Stenberg O. (A), Peca M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 1)
  • 04:30, 3 - 0, Kaskimaki A. (G), Stenberg O. (A),
  • 05:22, 3 - 1, Gregor N. (G), Pinho B. (A), Smith N. (A2)
  • 06:25, 4 - 1, Peterson D. (G), Stancl J. (A), Pekarcik J. (A2)
  • 07:20, 5 - 1, McGing H. (G),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Springfield Thunderbirds
27.6%
Draw
21.3%
Charlotte Checkers
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 22.5% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7% 27.2% 59%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Charlotte Checkers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte Checkers than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlotte Checkers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Springfield Thunderbirds - Charlotte Checkers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.38
    (3.14)
    4.34
    (4)
    1.81
    (1.85)
    7.8%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Springfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Springfield has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.
    • Charlotte could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 55:82. (average 2.8:4.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Springfield won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 2.3:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Springfield Thunderbirds - Charlotte Checkers were as follows:
    27.02.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Charlotte Checkers 2:3
    14.01.2026 Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds 8:2
    13.01.2026 Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds 8:2
    21.12.2025 Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds 4:3
    20.12.2025 Charlotte Checkers - Springfield Thunderbirds 1:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins543111111177:11485
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears56206822160:17260
    5Bridgeport Islanders56194825165:17454
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms55168625162:18354
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves522171113166:16067
    3Manitoba Moose50214619131:14356
    4Texas Stars53188423155:16556
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign55289216188:15076
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds54209520180:16963
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights522131018173:16658
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers561091423151:20452
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch55313417180:13572
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies55207919176:17963
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets55173926143:17549

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )