Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 6 |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.84 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (278/360) | 81% (350/431) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (278/360) | 81% (350/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 65% (42/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (94/152) | 66% (58/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (16/27) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Gomes A. 🟨,
- 25', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Cuenca M. A. ↓, Tasende D. ↑,
- 57', Gonzalez R. ↓, Cumic N. ↑,
- 57', Gomes A. ↓, Barrachina H. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 1, Appin K. ⚽, Morante I. (A),
- 66', Larios J. 🟨,
- 69', Curro ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
- 69', Appin K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 69', Morante I. 🟨,
- 72', Terrer L. ↓, Soberon M. ↑,
- 75', Cordoba I. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
- 75', Morante I. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
- 78', Larios J. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
- 83', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
- 84', Mensah M. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yz7vr2h5
Chances of winning
Zaragoza
32.4% | Draw
32.1% | Burgos
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zaragoza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zaragoza's form might have worsened.Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burgos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zaragoza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burgos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zaragoza - Burgos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↑
(2.39) |
2.9 ↓
(3.08) |
2.67 ↓
(3.13) |
6.7%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Zaragoza - Burgos?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Burgos (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Burgos (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Burgos (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 0.
- Zaragoza is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Burgos has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Zaragoza: Bakis S.
(Muscle Injury)
Bare K.
(Injury)
Carbonell L.
(Knee Injury)
Guti R.
(Injury)
Insua P.
(Red Card)
Kodro K.
(Injury)
Moya T.
(Inactive)
Pomares C.
(Injury)
Radovanovic A.
(Inactive)
Saidu Y.
(Inactive)
de la Fuente P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Burgos: Sierra G.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Burgos?
Zaragoza has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burgos won against Zaragoza?
Burgos has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zaragoza - Burgos were as follows:
21.12.2025
Burgos
-
Zaragoza
1:1
04.12.2025
Zaragoza
-
Burgos
0:1
16.02.2025
Zaragoza
-
Burgos
0:1
15.09.2024
Burgos
-
Zaragoza
1:0
05.05.2024
Zaragoza
-
Burgos
1:3
Latest results of Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
