Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 37
- Referee: Tonusluoglu D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (477/525) | 77% (210/272) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (477/525) | 77% (210/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 80% (39/49) | 28% (13/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (105/129) | 59% (41/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Keser B. 🟨,
- 61', Keser B. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
- 61', Rodriguez M. ↓, Fernando Andrade ↑,
- 66', Amaral J. ↓, Gumuskaya M. ↑,
- 76', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Tozlu E. ↑,
- 81', Acar E. ↓, Cinemre E. ↑,
- 81', Badji A. ↓, Esendemir Y. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 1, Nukan A. ⚽, Ciftci H. (A),
- 84', Nukan A. 🟨,
- 84', Bayrak C. ↓, Ulgen A. ↑,
- 85', Sylla C. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
- 86', Fall M. ↓, Midilic Y. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Tozlu E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Erzurumspor
51.9% | Draw
24.5% | Bandırmaspor
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erzurumspor's form might have worsened.Bandırmaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzurumspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bandırmaspor than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Erzurumspor - Bandırmaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.59) |
3.72 ↓
(4.46) |
3.93 ↓
(4.44) |
8.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Bandırmaspor?
Users Predictions:
Erzurumspor will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Erzurumspor is Qualified for Super Lig
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 2.
- Erzurumspor has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Bandırmaspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Erzurumspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Erzurumspor is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Erzurumspor: Ozhan F.
(Suspended)
Saglik S.
(Inactive)
Sasi F.
(Inactive)
Yigit E.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Bandırmaspor: Celibkay T.
(Inactive)
Kalender T.
(Eye injury)
- There are questionable in Bandırmaspor: Burgaz G.
(Injury)
- We predict that Erzurumspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Bandırmaspor?
Erzurumspor has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bandırmaspor won against Erzurumspor?
Bandırmaspor has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Bandırmaspor were as follows:
20.12.2025
Bandırmaspor
-
Erzurumspor
0:2
15.05.2025
Bandırmaspor
-
Erzurumspor
2:0
18.01.2025
Erzurumspor
-
Bandırmaspor
2:0
11.08.2024
Bandırmaspor
-
Erzurumspor
3:2
13.01.2024
Bandırmaspor
-
Erzurumspor
0:0
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Latest results of Bandırmaspor
Turkish First League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 55 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 39 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 46 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 24 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 32 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 30 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 2 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 0 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 4 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | -4 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | -31 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | -27 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | -69 | 14 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -147 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
