Result
1:2
23/08/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 5
- Referee: Morland S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 2.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (237/343) | 71% (260/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 2.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (237/343) | 71% (260/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (33/89) | 39% (28/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (52/100) | 54% (70/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Ogunneye H. ⚽, Lloyd B. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Mendez-Laing N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Spellman M. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 2, Paterson C. ⚽, Kelly L. (A),
- 61', Jones G. ↓, Thompson N. ↑,
- 67', Antwi C. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
- 70', Kamwa B. (Pen),
- 72', Nemane A. ↓, Hepburn-Murphy R. ↑,
- 77', Thompson N. 🟨,
- 78', Mendez-Laing N. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
- 78', Collar W. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 83', Davies T. 🟨,
- 89', Davies T. ↓, Driscoll-Glennon A. ↑,
- 89', Hogan S. ↓, Leko J. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newport County
19.3% | Draw
24.2% | Milton Keynes Dons
56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.88 ↑
(4.48) |
3.84 ↑
(3.73) |
1.69 ↓
(1.73) |
5.9%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Milton Keynes Dons will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
- Newport is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- MK Dons has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, MK Dons is the team to beat.
- There will not play in MK Dons: Maguire L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Newport: Warner J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in MK Dons: Sherring S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tomlinson J.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Milton Keynes Dons?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Milton Keynes Dons won against Newport County?
Milton Keynes Dons has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
18.04.2025
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Newport County
0:0
21.12.2024
Newport County
-
Milton Keynes Dons
6:3
24.02.2024
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Newport County
3:0
11.11.2023
Newport County
-
Milton Keynes Dons
0:0
22.11.2022
Milton Keynes Dons
-
Newport County
3:1
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Swindon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Walsall | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Bromley | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Crewe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Salford | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | MK Dons | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | Notts Co | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Fleetwood | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 8 |
| 15 | Harrogate | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Colchester | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 17 | Oldham | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 18 | Barnet | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Barrow | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | Crawley | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
| 22 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 23 | Cheltenham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:12 | -9 | 4 |
| 24 | Accrington | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
