Real Bamako vs Bakaridjan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
24/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premiere Division - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maliMaliORTM
worldWorldFIFA+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)

Chances of winning


Real Bamako
50.8%
Draw
28%
Bakaridjan
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 27.7% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 26.7% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Bamako's form might have worsened.
  • Bakaridjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Bamako, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bakaridjan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Real Bamako - Bakaridjan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.63)
    3.22
    (3.29)
    4.27
    (5.61)
    10.7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Real Bamako is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Real Bamako won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real Bamako won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Bamako - Bakaridjan were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Bakaridjan - Real Bamako 0:0
    10.01.2025 Real Bamako - Bakaridjan 0:0
    23.02.2024 Real Bamako - Bakaridjan 1:0
    25.11.2022 Real Bamako - Bakaridjan 2:2
    Latest results of Real Bamako
    15.04.2026 USFAS Bamako - Real Bamako 2:1
    04.04.2026 Real Bamako - Mali Coura 1:0
    17.03.2026 Bougouni - Real Bamako 1:1
    04.03.2026 Real Bamako - Djoliba 1:1
    Latest results of Bakaridjan
    16.04.2026 Bakaridjan - Diarra 1:2
    03.04.2026 Binga - Bakaridjan 0:0
    06.03.2026 Bakaridjan - USFAS Bamako 3:2
    28.02.2026 Mali Coura - Bakaridjan 0:1
    Malian Première Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Djoliba19134226:62043
    2Diarra19114422:121037
    3Real Bamako19106324:111336
    4Binga1996422:101233
    5Stade Malien1996414:10433
    6USFAS Bamako1995525:16932
    7Korofina1965820:21-123
    8Derby Academie1931249:12-321
    9Bougouba1955912:21-920
    10Foot Elite1955914:26-1220
    11Bakaridjan1947812:19-719
    12Onze Createurs19451012:18-617
    13Mali Coura19341212:23-1113
    14US Bougouni1934127:26-1913

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