Result
5:3
09/04/2026 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Germany | NHL.tv |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Disney+, Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 44 | 15 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 11.36% (5/44) | 20% (3/15) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 12 | 39 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 88.64% (39/44) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 20 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (2/6) | 100% (1/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 66.67% (4/6) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 53.73 | 46.27 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 02:08, 1 - 0, Schenn B. (G), Ritchie C. (A), Horvat B. (A2)
- 04:55, 2 - 0, Pageau J. (G), Shabanov M. (A), Pelech A. (A2)
- 05:11, 2 - 1, Lorentz S. (G),
- 18:50, Pezzetta M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:36, Ritchie C. (2 min),
- 01:57, 2 - 2, Cowan E. (G), Tavares J. (A), Ekman-Larsson O. (A2)
- 09:39, 3 - 2, Schaefer M. (G), DeAngelo A. (A), Palat O. (A2)
- 15:17, Myers P. (2 min),
- 16:44, 4 - 2, Heineman E. (G), Barzal M. (A), DeAngelo A. (A2)
- 17:01, Robertson N. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 09:04, Rielly M. (2 min),
- 09:39, Lorentz S. (2 min),
- 09:39, Ekman-Larsson O. (Game Misconduct),
- 10:20, 5 - 2, Ritchie C. (G),
- 14:04, 5 - 3, Rielly M. (G), Maccelli M. (A), Haymes L. (A2)
Chances of winning
New York Islanders
60.3% | Draw
19.7% | Toronto Maple Leafs
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Islanders's performance.Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto Maple Leafs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Islanders that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.79) |
4.8 ↑
(4.44) |
4.66 ↑
(3.65) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. NY Islanders will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Islanders: 50.9% – 95.7%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5, OT - NY Islanders (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Islanders (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:2.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- In this match, NY Islanders is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P.
(Ankle Injury)
Palmieri K.
(Knee Injury)
Romanov A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Varlamov S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Matthews A.
(Knee Injury)
Tanev C.
(Abdominal strain)
- There are questionable in NY Islanders: DeAngelo A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Stolarz A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 61:54. (average 3.1:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:31. (average 3.4:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has New York Islanders won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
New York Islanders has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against New York Islanders?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
17.03.2026
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
New York Islanders
1:3
03.01.2026
New York Islanders
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
4:3
02.01.2025
New York Islanders
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
1:2
31.12.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
New York Islanders
3:1
21.12.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
New York Islanders
3:6
Latest results of New York Islanders
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 2 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
