New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
4:3 OT
03/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNHL Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2522
Shots off target
2018
Shooting PCT
16% (4/25)13.64% (3/22)
Blocked Shots
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
1921
Saves PCT
86.36% (19/22)84% (21/25)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (2/2)
Hits
2119
Faceoffs Won
2630
Faceoffs %
46.4353.57
Giveaways
1719
Takeaways
62
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 07:18, Barzal M. (2 min),
  • 10:50, Pulock R. (2 min),
  • 10:50, Domi M. (2 min),
  • 11:52, Tavares J. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 01:10, 1 - 0, Pelech A. (G), Drouin J. (A),
  • 09:30, 1 - 1, Matthews A. (G),
  • 17:19, 1 - 2, Matthews A. (G), McMann B. (A), Domi M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 11:10, 2 - 2, Schaefer M. (G), Drouin J. (A), Pageau J. (A2)
  • 12:12, 2 - 3, Robertson N. (G), Roy N. (A),
  • 17:15, 3 - 3, Heineman E. (G), Barzal M. (A), DeAngelo A. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 04:11, 4 - 3, Schaefer M. (G), Barzal M. (A), Heineman E. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Islanders
38.4%		Draw
23.1%		Toronto Maple Leafs
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 22.1% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 21.9% 36.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Islanders than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.49 ↑
    (2.35)    		 4.14 ↓
    (4.4)    		 2.45 ↓
    (2.65)    		 5.2%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 30.4% – 86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toronto Maple Leafs will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 3.
    • NY Islanders has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Toronto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in NY Islanders: Engvall P. (Ankle Injury) Horvat B. (Lower-Body Injury) Palmieri K. (Knee Injury) Romanov A. (Shoulder Injury) Sorokin I. (Lower-Body Injury) Varlamov S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Islanders won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 57:59. (average 2.9:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY Islanders won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:28. (average 3.3:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    02.01.2025 New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2
    31.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 3:1
    21.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 3:6
    05.02.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - New York Islanders 2:3
    11.01.2024 New York Islanders - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:3
    Latest results of New York Islanders
    01.01.2026 New York Islanders - Utah Mammoth 2:7 ✺
    30.12.2025 Chicago Blackhawks - New York Islanders 2:3 ✺
    28.12.2025 Columbus Blue Jackets - New York Islanders 4:2 ✺
    27.12.2025 New York Islanders - New York Rangers 2:0 ✺
    23.12.2025 New York Islanders - New Jersey Devils 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    01.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Winnipeg Jets 6:5 ✺
    30.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - New Jersey Devils 4:0 ✺
    28.12.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:2 ✺
    27.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Ottawa Senators 7:5 ✺
    23.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins 6:3 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche5635399216:14085
    2Dallas Stars58296914197:16179
    3Minnesota Wild5821131014196:16978
    4Vegas Golden Knights582171416197:18370
    5Anaheim Ducks571912323191:20065
    6Utah Mammoth58237424185:16164
    7Edmonton Oilers59217823203:20064
    8Seattle Kraken57216921163:16963
    9Los Angeles Kings571491420150:16760
    10Nashville Predators57197724169:19859
    11San Jose Sharks551611424171:19358
    12Winnipeg Jets57203826163:17754
    13Chicago Blackhawks57175926154:18553
    14Calgary Flames56194627142:16952
    15St. Louis Blues57191928147:20349
    16Vancouver Canucks58126733151:21343


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Tampa Bay Lightning56299414203:14280
    2Carolina Hurricanes572610615197:16378
    3Montreal Canadiens572111817199:18772
    4Detroit Red Wings582310619174:17572
    5Buffalo Sabres58276619197:17772
    6Pittsburgh Penguins562541215192:16970
    7Boston Bruins57248520195:18269
    8New York Islanders582210521169:16269
    9Washington Capitals60255723192:17867
    10Columbus Blue Jackets56209720179:17765
    11Ottawa Senators57226722191:18463
    12Toronto Maple Leafs58198922190:19863
    13Florida Panthers57236325174:19161
    14Philadelphia Flyers571871121168:18361
    15New Jersey Devils581810228147:17758
    16New York Rangers57148629151:18050

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