Bolton Wanderers vs Bristol Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 41
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.14
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
83
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
78% (391/500)62% (184/297)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
0.300.14
xG on target (xGOT)
0.950.53
Total shots
83
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
10
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
42
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1715
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
107
Passes
78% (391/500)62% (184/297)
Long passes
28% (19/69)21% (17/80)
Passes in final third
64% (87/135)50% (74/149)
Crosses
27% (4/15)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.75
Fouls
710
Tackles
63% (12/19)76% (13/17)
Duels won
6340
Clearances Total
3818
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.530.95
Goals prevented
0.53-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Forrester W. , Thomason G. ,
  • 30', Butcher M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Forde S. 🟨,
  • 64', Dacres-Cogley J. , Jones G. ,
  • 65', Forde S. , Sinclair S. ,
  • 65', Sawyers R. , Ward G. ,
  • 72', Morley A. , Matete J. ,
  • 72', Mendes C. , Dempsey K. ,
  • 76', 1 - 0, Collins A. , Jones G. (A),
  • 77', Shaw K. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 77', O'Donkor G. , Thomas L. ,
  • 80', Moore T. , Hunt J. ,

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
67.5%
Draw
19.5%
Bristol Rovers
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 22.8% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5% 21.9% 14.6%

Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.4
(1.48)
4.9
(4.03)
7.25
(6.06)
5.9%
(8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.
    • Recent matches Bolton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bristol Rovers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bolton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Bolton have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Bolton is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Toal E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Knee Injury) Dempsey K. (Lacking Match Fitness) Santos R. (Lower Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Moore T. (Injury)
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Bolton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
    11.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 3:2
    06.04.2024 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 0:2
    16.12.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:2
    07.05.2023 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 2:3
    02.12.2022 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:1
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
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    5Bolton1887325:16931
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    11Wigan1867521:20125
    12Leyton Orient1974830:30025
    13Wycombe1966726:21524
    14Rotherham1866620:20024
    15Northampton1873817:18-124
    16Mansfield1864823:24-122
    17Reading1857621:22-122
    18Burton1864816:24-822
    19Doncaster1964917:26-922
    20Exeter18621017:18-120
    21Peterborough18611121:26-519
    22Plymouth19611220:32-1219
    23Blackpool18441017:28-1116
    24Port Vale18351011:21-1014

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two