Result
1:0
05/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 41
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (391/500) | 62% (184/297) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (391/500) | 62% (184/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (19/69) | 21% (17/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (87/135) | 50% (74/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Forrester W. ↓, Thomason G. ↑,
- 30', Butcher M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Forde S. 🟨,
- 64', Dacres-Cogley J. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
- 65', Forde S. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
- 65', Sawyers R. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
- 72', Morley A. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
- 72', Mendes C. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 0, Collins A. ⚽, Jones G. (A),
- 77', Shaw K. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
- 77', O'Donkor G. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 80', Moore T. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bolton Wanderers
67.5% | Draw
19.5% | Bristol Rovers
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↓
(1.48) |
4.9 ↑
(4.03) |
7.25 ↑
(6.06) |
5.9%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolton: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 20).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.
- Recent matches Bolton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Bristol Rovers is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Bolton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Bolton have a series of guest games.
- In this match Bolton is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Bolton: Toal E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K.
(Knee Injury)
Martin C.
(Injury)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Adeboyejo V.
(Knee Injury)
Dempsey K.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Santos R.
(Lower Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Moore T.
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Bolton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Bristol Rovers?
Bolton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Bolton Wanderers?
Bristol Rovers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers were as follows:
11.03.2025
Bristol Rovers
-
Bolton Wanderers
3:2
06.04.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Bolton Wanderers
0:2
16.12.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Bristol Rovers
1:2
07.05.2023
Bristol Rovers
-
Bolton Wanderers
2:3
02.12.2022
Bolton Wanderers
-
Bristol Rovers
1:1
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bradford City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:13 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | Lincoln | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Cardiff | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | AFC Wimbledon | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Luton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Bolton | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 14 |
| 13 | Northampton | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Wigan | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Plymouth | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | Exeter | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 19 | Reading | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 |
| 22 | Blackpool | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 23 | Burton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
