Porto vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
30:33
28/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Andebol 1 - Championship Group - Round 1
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSporting TV

Chances of winning


Porto
22.7%
Draw
10%
Sporting Lisbon
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 9.4% 68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4% 9.1% 70.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Porto - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.02
    (4.1)
    9.13
    (9.7)
    1.35
    (1.33)
    9.9%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 64.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 0.
    • Porto is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sporting is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Sporting is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 632:666. (average 31.6:33.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 283:296. (average 31.4:32.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    07.02.2026 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 35:40
    10.12.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 32:36
    27.09.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 30:29
    23.08.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 36:29
    07.06.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 27:28
    Latest results of Porto
    14.03.2026 Avanca - Porto 30:41
    10.03.2026 Skanderborg - Porto 29:30
    07.03.2026 Benfica - Porto 29:29
    03.03.2026 Porto - BM Granollers 34:33
    28.02.2026 Porto - Marítimo Postponed
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Portuguese Andebol 1 Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLPts
    1Sporting220069:5939
    2Porto210172:6534
    3Benfica210167:6933
    4Aguas Santas200256:7127

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