Result
5:0
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Kharmoud A. ⚽,
- 5', 2 - 0, Pinzauti L. ⚽,
- 13', 3 - 0, Polvani L. ⚽,
- 39', 4 - 0, Sparacello C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 87', 5 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pistoiese 70.2% | Draw 18.7% | Corticella 11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pistoiese's performance.Corticella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pistoiese that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corticella than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corticella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pistoiese - Corticella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.3 ↓ (1.41) |
4.88 ↑ (4.33) |
8.29 ↑ (6.23) |
9.3% (10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
- Pistoiese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs )
- Recent matches Pistoiese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Corticella is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Corticella could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Pistoiese is indisputable favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Pistoiese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Pistoiese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pistoiese won against Corticella?
Pistoiese has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corticella won against Pistoiese?
Corticella has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pistoiese - Corticella were as follows:
15.12.2024
Corticella
-
Pistoiese
0:1
16.12.2023
Corticella
-
Pistoiese
0:0
14.05.2023
Pistoiese
-
Corticella
1:2
06.04.2023
Corticella
-
Pistoiese
2:1
27.11.2022
Pistoiese
-
Corticella
2:0
Latest results of Pistoiese
Latest results of Corticella
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Desenzano | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 74 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 49:21 | 28 | 72 |
| 3 | Pistoiese ✔ | 33 | 19 | 11 | 3 | 56:22 | 34 | 68 |
| 4 | Piacenza ✔ | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 57:34 | 23 | 61 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 13 | 56 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 45:29 | 16 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 35:24 | 11 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 35:28 | 7 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 41:40 | 1 | 47 |
| 10 | Crema | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 34:44 | -10 | 38 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 36:49 | -13 | 38 |
| 12 | Correggese | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 34:36 | -2 | 36 |
| 13 | SCD Progresso | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 36 |
| 14 | Sasso Marconi ✔ | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 31:44 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Imolese ✔ | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 27:47 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano ✔ | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 28:44 | -16 | 30 |
| 17 | Trevigliese ✔ | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 27:58 | -31 | 22 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio ✔ | 33 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 15:70 | -55 | 7 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Pistoiese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs )
Piacenza is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs )
Sasso Marconi is Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out )
Imolese is Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out )
Tropical Coriano is Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out )
Trevigliese is Relegated to
Tuttocuoio is Relegated to