Czarni Słupsk vs Toruń – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
103:93 OT
05/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Basket Liga - Round 21

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9061
Field goals made
4131
Field goals %
45.56%50.82%
2-point field goals attempts
5630
2-point field goals made
2821
2-point field goals %
50%70%
3-point field goals attempts
3431
3-point field goals made
1310
3-point field goals %
38.24%32.26%
Free throws attempts
1328
Free throws made
821
Free throws %
61.5%75%
Offensive rebounds
186
Defensive rebounds
2632
Total rebounds
4438
Assists
2322
Blocks
16
Turnovers
917
Steals
87
Personal fouls
2314

Chances of winning


Czarni Słupsk
79.4%
Toruń
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Czarni Słupsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Czarni Słupsk's performance.
  • Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toruń might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Słupsk than the current prediction. (-22.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Czarni Słupsk that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toruń than the current prediction. (+22.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toruń could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Czarni Słupsk - Toruń Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.17
    (1.75)

    4.54
    (1.91)
    7.2%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 174.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
    What is the prediction for Czarni Słupsk - Toruń?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Czarni Słupsk will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Toruń will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Czarni Słupsk: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Czarni Słupsk (votes: 2 - 40%). Toruń (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -5.5, OT - Czarni Słupsk (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8, OT - Toruń (1.87) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Czarni Słupsk (votes: 3 - 30%). Toruń (votes: 7 - 70%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 93:81.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Czarni Słupsk won 3.
    • Czarni Słupsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toruń has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Czarni Słupsk is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Czarni Słupsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1536:1523. (average 76.8:76.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Czarni Słupsk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 716:684. (average 79.6:76).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Czarni Słupsk - Toruń were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Toruń - Czarni Słupsk 98:111
    30.08.2025 Toruń - Czarni Słupsk 94:82
    28.02.2025 Czarni Słupsk - Toruń 83:89
    26.10.2024 Toruń - Czarni Słupsk 78:96
    27.01.2024 Czarni Słupsk - Toruń 90:65
    Latest results of Czarni Słupsk
    Latest results of Toruń
    17.02.2026 Toruń - MOSiR Krosno 112:105
    06.02.2026 Toruń - Start Lublin 97:88
    31.01.2026 Legia Warsaw - Toruń 82:81
    16.01.2026 Dąbrowa Górnicza - Toruń 90:79
    Polish Basket Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Szczecin221661828:177238
    2Legia221571854:172937
    3Trefl Sopot221481936:182836
    4Slask Wroclaw211561877:173236
    5Dziki Warszawa221392011:187235
    6Gdynia211381769:171334
    7Ostrow Wielkopolski2212101845:188634
    8Gornik Walbrzych2212101782:181134
    9Zielona Gora2211111846:178833
    10Anwil Wloclawek2211111965:190433
    11Dabrowa Gornicza2211111918:190633
    12Czarni Slupsk228141855:193030
    13Lublin228141804:196830
    14Torun228141925:197130
    15GTK Gliwice225171763:197127
    16Krosno223191791:198825

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