Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Michigan State Spartans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3 penalties
06/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 1)

Chances of winning


Minnesota Golden Gophers
30.2%
Draw
22.3%
Michigan State Spartans
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 22.3% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 23.8% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota Golden Gophers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota Golden Gophers's form might have worsened.
  • Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michigan State Spartans's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Golden Gophers than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota Golden Gophers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michigan State Spartans, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.52)
    4.1
    (4.05)
    1.92
    (2.15)
    9.4%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 0.
    • Minnesota has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Michigan State is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Michigan State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Minnesota has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Michigan State has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:55. (average 3.9:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:29. (average 4.4:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans were as follows:
    05.03.2026 Minnesota Golden Gophers - Michigan State Spartans 1:7
    24.01.2026 Michigan State Spartans - Minnesota Golden Gophers 3:2
    23.01.2026 Michigan State Spartans - Minnesota Golden Gophers 3:1
    25.01.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Minnesota Golden Gophers 4:3
    24.01.2025 Michigan State Spartans - Minnesota Golden Gophers 9:3
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/8-finals
    1Boston College EaglesBentley Falcons3 : 1
    2Providence FriarsDenver Pioneers1 : 5
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks2 : 1
    4Minnesota Golden GophersMassachusetts Minutemen4 : 5
    5Maine Black BearsPenn State Nittany Lions1 : 5
    6Connecticut HuskiesQuinnipiac Bobcats4 : 1
    7Michigan State SpartansCornell Big Red3 : 4
    8Boston University TerriersOhio State Buckeyes8 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Boston College EaglesDenver Pioneers1 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosMassachusetts Minutemen2 : 1
    3Penn State Nittany LionsConnecticut Huskies3 : 2
    4Cornell Big RedBoston University Terriers2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Denver PioneersWestern Michigan Broncos2 : 3
    2Penn State Nittany LionsBoston University Terriers1 : 3

    Final
    1Western Michigan BroncosBoston University Terriers6 : 2