Shawinigan Cataractes vs Saint John Sea Dogs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:2
19/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • QMJHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 13:47, 0 - 1, Wasmer J. (G), Duhamel O. (A), Groulx O. (A2)
  • 16:21, 1 - 1, Lanthier J. (G),
  • 18:57, 1 - 2, Yared W. (G), Rozzi D. (A),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 17:12, 2 - 2, Elie V. (G),
  • 3rd Period (4 - 0)
  • 02:50, 3 - 2, Ouellet N. (G), Semenyov G. (A),
  • 05:59, 4 - 2, Schneider E. (G), Charron O. (A), Prudhomme J. (A2)
  • 06:45, 5 - 2, Klima J. (G), Lacerte F. (A), Elie V. (A2)
  • 12:20, 6 - 2, Plante M. (G), Dumais L. (A), Ouellet N. (A2)

Chances of winning


Shawinigan Cataractes
63.8%
Draw
17.7%
Saint John Sea Dogs
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 17.9% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 14.8% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shawinigan Cataractes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Saint John Sea Dogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shawinigan Cataractes than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shawinigan Cataractes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint John Sea Dogs than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint John Sea Dogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Shawinigan Cataractes - Saint John Sea Dogs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.46)
    5.13
    (5.09)
    4.93
    (4.63)
    9.8%
    (9.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Shawinigan is Qualified for QMJHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shawinigan won 4.
    • Shawinigan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Saint John has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Saint John may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Shawinigan has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Saint John has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Shawinigan is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shawinigan won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 88:60. (average 4.4:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shawinigan won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:29. (average 4.4:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shawinigan Cataractes - Saint John Sea Dogs were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Saint John Sea Dogs - Shawinigan Cataractes 3:2
    23.02.2025 Shawinigan Cataractes - Saint John Sea Dogs 4:1
    15.02.2025 Saint John Sea Dogs - Shawinigan Cataractes 4:6
    26.01.2024 Shawinigan Cataractes - Saint John Sea Dogs 5:3
    18.01.2024 Saint John Sea Dogs - Shawinigan Cataractes 1:6
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Moncton Wildcats (1)Saint John Sea Dogs (8)4 : 0
    2Chicoutimi Sagueneens (2)Halifax Mooseheads (7)4 : 0
    3Newfoundland Regiment (3)Cape Breton Eagles (6)3 : 1
    4Charlottetown Islanders (4)Quebec Remparts (5)2 : 2
    5Rouyn-Noranda Huskies (1)Gatineau Olympiques (8)3 : 1
    6Blainville-Boisbriand Armada (2)Victoriaville Tigres (7)4 : 0
    7Drummondville Voltigeurs (3)Val-d'Or Foreurs (6)1 : 3
    8Shawinigan Cataractes (4)Sherbrooke Phoenix (5)2 : 2