Result
1:1
12/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 33
- Referee: Prontera A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (364/438) | 71% (185/261) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (364/438) | 71% (185/261) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 39% (24/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (135/174) | 60% (55/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (15/45) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.48 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 52 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 28 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Florenzi A. (Own goal),
- 38', Cistana A. 🟥,
- 45+1', Venturi M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cimino B. ↓, Ciervo R. ↑,
- 46', Cruz J. M. ↓, Mazzocchi S. ↑,
- 58', Florenzi A. 🟨,
- 62', Corrado N. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 67', Florenzi A. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
- 71', Borrelli G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 72', Besaggio M. ↓, Calvani G. ↑,
- 80', Venturi M. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
- 83', Juric A. 🟨,
- 84', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
- 88', Nuamah P. 🟨,
- 88', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
- 89', Nuamah P. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
- 90+1', Gargiulo M. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Zilli M. ⚽, Dalle Mura C. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5n8zhanz
Chances of winning
Nuova Cosenza
33.8% | Draw
30.6% | Brescia
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-2%)
Nuova Cosenza - Brescia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.57) |
3.06 ↓
(3.16) |
2.64 ↓
(2.75) |
7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nuova Cosenza - Brescia?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Brescia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Brescia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Brescia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2.
- Recent matches Cosenza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Brescia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Brescia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Cosenza: Caporale A.
(Inactive)
Garritano L.
(Calf Injury)
Kourfalidis C.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Brescia: Cistana A.
(Inactive)
Fogliata R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Brescia: Olzer G.
(Inactive)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12:22 (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Nuova Cosenza won against Brescia?
Nuova Cosenza has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Nuova Cosenza?
Brescia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nuova Cosenza - Brescia were as follows:
09.11.2024
Brescia
-
Nuova Cosenza
2:3
01.04.2024
Nuova Cosenza
-
Brescia
1:2
03.09.2023
Brescia
-
Nuova Cosenza
1:0
01.06.2023
Brescia
-
Nuova Cosenza
1:1
25.05.2023
Nuova Cosenza
-
Brescia
1:0
Latest results of Nuova Cosenza
Latest results of Brescia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 52:28 | 24 | 55 |
| 4 | Palermo | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 32:32 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Empoli | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Bari | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 28 |
| 18 | Mantova | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 20 | Pescara | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
