Result
3:2
14/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Kategoria e Parë - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 79', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 89', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Skënderbeu Korçë
64.6% | Draw
23.3% | Apolonia Fier
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Skënderbeu Korçë has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Apolonia Fier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Skënderbeu Korçë, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apolonia Fier than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Skënderbeu Korçë - Apolonia Fier Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.35) |
4 ↓
(4.23) |
7.72 ↓
(8.13) |
7.1%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Skënderbeu Korçë - Apolonia Fier?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Skënderbeu (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore and 9 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 4.
- Recent performances by Skënderbeu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Apolonia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Skënderbeu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Skënderbeu is the clear favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Skënderbeu won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 1.6:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Skënderbeu won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Skënderbeu Korçë won against Apolonia Fier?
Skënderbeu Korçë has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Apolonia Fier won against Skënderbeu Korçë?
Apolonia Fier has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Skënderbeu Korçë - Apolonia Fier were as follows:
09.11.2025
Apolonia Fier
-
Skënderbeu Korçë
2:3
31.03.2023
Skënderbeu Korçë
-
Apolonia Fier
4:1
04.12.2022
Apolonia Fier
-
Skënderbeu Korçë
0:1
Latest results of Skënderbeu Korçë
Latest results of Apolonia Fier
Albanian First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Skenderbeu | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 46:23 | 23 | 57 |
| 2 | Laci | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 54 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 39:20 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Iliria Fushe-Kruje | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 33 |
| 5 | Kastrioti | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Burreli | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 31 |
| 7 | Besa Kavaje | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Korabi Peshkopi | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:29 | -4 | 28 |
| 9 | Apolonia Fier | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 22:29 | -7 | 24 |
| 10 | Lushnja | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 20 |
| 11 | AF Luftetari | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 24:35 | -11 | 19 |
| 12 | Kukesi | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:39 | -20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
Relegation
