Result
1:2
05/04/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, HBO Max, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (288/411) | 76% (349/461) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (288/411) | 76% (349/461) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (20/66) | 27% (14/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/87) | 59% (91/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 0, Ayres M. ⚽, Allan J. (A),
- 67', Bates E. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
- 71', Henry B. 🟨,
- 71', Adams C. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 1, Keane A. ⚽, Roestbakken K. (A),
- 80', Brown K. ↓, Allan L. ↑,
- 83', Hoban S. 🟨,
- 87', Henry B. ↓, Jugovic K. ↑,
- 90+7', Karipidis Z. ↓, Page O. ↑,
- 90+7', 1 - 2, Turner D. ⚽, Roestbakken K. (A),
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets
22.1% | Draw
23.3% | Melbourne City
54.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.18 ↓
(4.45) |
3.97 ↑
(3.94) |
1.69 ↑
(1.61) |
8.2%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Melbourne City is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Semi~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1.
- In recent matches, Newcastle Jets has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Melbourne City is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Newcastle Jets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melbourne City is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 11:52. (average 0.6:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:22. (average 0.4:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Melbourne City?
Newcastle Jets has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Newcastle Jets?
Melbourne City has won 8 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City were as follows:
16.01.2026
Melbourne City
-
Newcastle Jets
1:3
11.04.2025
Melbourne City
-
Newcastle Jets
4:1
08.02.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne City
0:2
27.04.2024
Melbourne City
-
Newcastle Jets
3:0
21.04.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Melbourne City
0:3
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Latest results of Melbourne City
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra W (3) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W (4) | Adelaide W (5) | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Brisbane Roar W (4) | |
