Badajoz vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/03/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 26

Chances of winning


Badajoz
39.4%
Draw
33.1%
Mérida AD
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 34% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 33.2% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mérida AD's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Badajoz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mérida AD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Badajoz - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.07)
    2.78
    (2.7)
    3.33
    (4.26)
    8.9%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 2.
    • Badajoz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Mérida AD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Badajoz will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Badajoz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Badajoz - Mérida AD were as follows:
    11.12.2022 Mérida AD - Badajoz 1:0
    Latest results of Badajoz
    12.02.2023 San Fernando - Badajoz 2:1
    05.02.2023 Badajoz - Rayo Majadahonda 0:0
    29.01.2023 Algeciras - Badajoz 1:1
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife ✔ 352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B ✔ 351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9Lugo3512131034:37-349
    10AD Merida351391344:49-548
    11Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    12Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    13Ath Bilbao B3512101336:40-446
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15Ourense CF359121440:42-239
    16CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    17Cacereno358141335:45-1038
    18Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    19Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    20Arenteiro35692029:50-2127

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
    Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1