Result
3:2
09/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 2
- Referee: Rock D. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (375/481) | 52% (118/225) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (375/481) | 52% (118/225) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (24/74) | 31% (22/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (112/176) | 41% (44/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 3.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, Beesley J. (Pen),
- 35', 0 - 2, Tavares F. ⚽, McKiernan J. J. (A),
- 45+3', Earl J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 55', 1 - 2, Vickers C. ⚽, Phillips A. (A),
- 58', Chauke K. ↓, Gilligan C. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 2, Keillor-Dunn D. ⚽,
- 65', 🟨,
- 71', Tavares F. ↓, Shade T. ↑,
- 72', Yoganathan V. ↓, Kelly P. ↑,
- 72', Vickers C. ↓, Cleary R. ↑,
- 82', McKiernan J. J. 🟨,
- 86', Kelly P. 🟨,
- 87', Williams D. ↓, Akoto N. ↑,
- 87', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, McGoldrick D. ⚽,
- 90+5', McGoldrick D. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barnsley
54.1% | Draw
24.3% | Burton Albion
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barnsley's performance.Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burton Albion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barnsley that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Barnsley - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(2.04) |
3.91 ↑
(3.59) |
4.37 ↑
(3.49) |
4.2%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Barnsley - Burton Albion?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Barnsley (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Barnsley will win
(34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Barnsley will win (26 of 26 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 27 high ROI users predict this event. Barnsley (votes: 27 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 3.
- In recent matches, Barnsley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Burton is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Burton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Barnsley has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Burton has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Barnsley is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Barnsley: Shepherd J.
(Red Card)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Barnsley won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnsley won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnsley won against Burton Albion?
Barnsley has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Barnsley?
Burton Albion has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnsley - Burton Albion were as follows:
01.02.2025
Barnsley
-
Burton Albion
0:0
21.09.2024
Burton Albion
-
Barnsley
1:2
01.04.2024
Burton Albion
-
Barnsley
1:3
16.09.2023
Barnsley
-
Burton Albion
2:0
07.04.2023
Burton Albion
-
Barnsley
2:1
Latest results of Barnsley
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
