Newcastle Red Bulls vs Connacht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/01/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Newcastle Red Bulls
47.5%
Draw
4.5%
Connacht
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 4.7% 52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 4.6% 53.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connacht than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Connacht could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newcastle Red Bulls - Connacht Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.13)
    21
    (19.4)
    1.92
    (1.75)
    8.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
    • The most likely Handicap: (0)
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Red Bulls - Connacht were as follows:
    10.12.2022 Connacht - Newcastle Red Bulls 22:8
    Latest results of Newcastle Red Bulls
    Latest results of Connacht
    14.01.2023 Connacht - Brive 61:5
    07.01.2023 Connacht - Sharks 24:12
    01.01.2023 Leinster - Connacht 41:12
    23.12.2022 Connacht - Ulster 20:22
    16.12.2022 Brive - Connacht 24:31
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1UlsterOspreys28 : 24
    2Newcastle Red BullsStade Rochelais18 : 26
    3BenettonCardiff Rugby38 : 35
    4Exeter ChiefsMunster31 : 21
    5MontpellierUSA Perpignan53 : 13
    6ConnachtSharks29 : 12
    7ZebreSection Paloise31 : 15
    8Stade Francais ParisDragons31 : 36

    Quarter-finals
    1UlsterStade Rochelais41 : 24
    2BenettonExeter Chiefs41 : 44
    3MontpellierConnacht45 : 22
    4ZebreDragons32 : 35

    Semi-finals
    1UlsterExeter Chiefs
    2MontpellierDragons

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2