Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 penalties
07/12/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2229
Shots off target
1318
Shooting PCT
9.09% (2/22)6.9% (2/29)
Blocked Shots
1919
Goalkeeper Saves
2720
Saves PCT
93.1% (27/29)90.91% (20/22)
Penalties
21
PIM
42
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/1)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)100% (1/1)
Hits
1726
Faceoffs Won
2225
Faceoffs %
46.8153.19
Giveaways
2313
Takeaways
55
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 18:18, 0 - 1, Dewar C. (G), Lizotte B. (A), Acciari N. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:27, 1 - 1, Benn Ja. (G), Hintz R. (A), Robertson J. (A2)
  • 05:56, 1 - 2, Novak T. (G), Letang K. (A), Crosby S. (A2)
  • 08:26, Benn Ja. (2 min),
  • 15:47, Heiskanen M. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 12:26, Koivunen V. (2 min),
  • 18:11, 2 - 2, Heiskanen M. (G), Johnston W. (A), Rantanen M. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 0)
  • 1, Robertson J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Rust B. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Duchene M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Crosby S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Rantanen M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Letang K. (Penalty Shot),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dallas Stars
49.7%
Draw
21.9%
Pittsburgh Penguins
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49% 20.6% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 19.8% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dallas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.98)
    4.38
    (4.72)
    3.34
    (3.19)
    5%
    (3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5, OT - Pittsburgh (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dallas Stars will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dallas (votes: 3 - 60%). Pittsburgh (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 4.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Pittsburgh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Dallas might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Bichsel L. (Lower-Body Injury) Duchene M. (Upper-Body Injury) Erne A. (Lower-Body Injury) Harley T. (Lower-Body Injury) Lundkvist N. (Lower-Body Injury) Seguin T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Acciari N. (Upper-Body Injury) Brazeau J. (Upper-Body Injury) Hallander F. (Leg Injury) Jones C. (Lower-Body Injury) Rakell R. (Hand Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Koppanen J. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 54:49. (average 2.7:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 2.7:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:5
    11.11.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Dallas Stars 1:7
    22.03.2024 Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:2
    24.10.2023 Pittsburgh Penguins - Dallas Stars 1:4
    23.03.2023 Dallas Stars - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:2
    Latest results of Dallas Stars
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche61384910235:15393
    2Dallas Stars623171014216:17086
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights622181419205:19772
    5Anaheim Ducks612014324205:21271
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers63228825223:21668
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks591812425186:20764
    10Los Angeles Kings611691422160:18264
    11Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13Chicago Blackhawks621851029166:20156
    14St. Louis Blues61221929159:21055
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks62136736163:23345


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes623010616220:17886
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings632411721186:19077
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders632312523186:18275
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Florida Panthers63256329191:21065
    14Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    15New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )