Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 12
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Javier F. 🟥,
- 31', 1 - 0, Gurpegui U. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ardoi
31.3% | Draw
30.5% | Peña Sport
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ardoi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ardoi's performance.Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peña Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ardoi than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ardoi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peña Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ardoi - Peña Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↓
(3.6) |
3.16 ↓
(3.35) |
2.52 ↑
(1.92) |
3.9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 1.
- Recent performances by Ardoi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Peña Sport is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ardoi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Peña Sport could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ardoi won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ardoi won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ardoi won against Peña Sport?
Ardoi has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peña Sport won against Ardoi?
Peña Sport has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ardoi - Peña Sport were as follows:
18.01.2025
Ardoi
-
Peña Sport
1:2
25.05.2024
Ardoi
-
Peña Sport
1:1
18.05.2024
Peña Sport
-
Ardoi
0:1
27.01.2024
Ardoi
-
Peña Sport
0:0
09.09.2023
Peña Sport
-
Ardoi
0:0
Latest results of Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pena | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 63:38 | 25 | 74 |
| 2 | Pamplona | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 63:28 | 35 | 69 |
| 3 | Izarra | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 60:30 | 30 | 58 |
| 4 | Subiza | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 | AD San Juan | 33 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | Huarte | 33 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 49:46 | 3 | 47 |
| 7 | Beti Kozkor | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 7 | 45 |
| 8 | Cortes | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 36:47 | -11 | 45 |
| 9 | Ezcabarte | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 46:47 | -1 | 45 |
| 10 | Valle Egues | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 48:55 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 | Cirbonero | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Txantrea | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 49:66 | -17 | 40 |
| 13 | Aoiz | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 40:45 | -5 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Ardoi | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 45:53 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Bidezarra | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 31:39 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Beti Onak | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 40:54 | -14 | 33 |
| 17 | Oberena | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31:58 | -27 | 31 |
| 18 | CA Artajones | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 35:59 | -24 | 31 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
