Result
0:1 penalties
23/04/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Turkish Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | A Spor, DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Iran | Persiana Sports 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | A Spor |
 Ukraine | Maincast Sport |
 United-arab-emirates | Maraya, Sharjah Sports |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 3.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (361/441) | 89% (502/563) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 3.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (361/441) | 89% (502/563) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (32/73) | 61% (20/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (69/97) | 81% (124/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (8/26) | 58% (15/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 3.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (20/24) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Eskihellac M. 🟨,
- 20', Ndiaye C. 🟨,
- 22', Coulibaly T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Holse C. 🟨,
- 56', Tufan O. 🟨,
- 69', Ndiaye C. 🟨,
- 71', Ntcham O. ↓, Marius ↑,
- 72', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Bouchouari B. ↑,
- 72', Zubkov O. ↓, Muci E. ↑,
- 84', Tufan O. ↓, Nwakaeme A. ↑,
- 89', Kayan Y. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
- 89', Coulibaly T. ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 90+1', Yavru Z. 🟨,
- 90+2', Felipe Augusto ↓, Nayir U. ↑,
- Extra Time (0 - 0)
- 93', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 94', Savic S. 🟨,
- 105+1', Nwakaeme A. 🟨,
- 106', Pina W. ↓, Lovik M. ↑,
- 117', Jabol-Folcarelli T. ↓, Malkocoglu S. ↑,
- Penalties (1 - 3)
- 1, Onuachu P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Satka L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Eskihellac M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Marius (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Bouchouari B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Cift Y. E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Nwakaeme A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Tomasson L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Muci E. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Samsunspor
37.6% | Draw
28% | Trabzonspor
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Samsunspor - Trabzonspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.63) |
3.32 ↓
(3.45) |
2.74 ↑
(2.43) |
6.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Trabzonspor?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Trabzonspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Trabzonspor (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trabzonspor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Turkish Cup (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 2.
- Samsunspor is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Trabzonspor is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Trabzonspor?
Samsunspor has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trabzonspor won against Samsunspor?
Trabzonspor has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Trabzonspor were as follows:
07.02.2026
Samsunspor
-
Trabzonspor
0:3
31.08.2025
Trabzonspor
-
Samsunspor
1:1
25.05.2025
Trabzonspor
-
Samsunspor
2:2
04.01.2025
Samsunspor
-
Trabzonspor
2:1
04.05.2024
Samsunspor
-
Trabzonspor
3:1
Latest results of Samsunspor
Latest results of Trabzonspor
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Galatasaray | Genclerbirligi | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Samsunspor | Trabzonspor | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Besiktas | Alanyaspor | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Konyaspor | Fenerbahce | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Genclerbirligi | Trabzonspor | |
| 2 | Besiktas | Konyaspor | |
Final
