Result
2:1
01/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Vihiga United
54.4% | Draw
27.6% | Kibera Black Stars
18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vihiga United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vihiga United's performance.Kibera Black Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kibera Black Stars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vihiga United than the current prediction. (-24.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vihiga United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kibera Black Stars than the current prediction. (+20.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kibera Black Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vihiga United - Kibera Black Stars Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(3.04) |
4.64 ↑
(2.85) |
7.07 ↑
(2.37) |
-21.8%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Vihiga United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kibera is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kibera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kibera has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vihiga United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vihiga United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vihiga United won against Kibera Black Stars?
Vihiga United has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kibera Black Stars won against Vihiga United?
Kibera Black Stars has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vihiga United - Kibera Black Stars were as follows:
08.06.2025
Vihiga United
-
Kibera Black Stars
0:2
06.10.2024
Kibera Black Stars
-
Vihiga United
0:0
19.04.2023
Kibera Black Stars
-
Vihiga United
0:0
14.12.2022
Vihiga United
-
Kibera Black Stars
0:1
Latest results of Vihiga United
Latest results of Kibera Black Stars
Kenyan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mombasa United | 21 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 43 |
| 2 | Migori | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 40 |
| 3 | MOFA | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:13 | 16 | 38 |
| 4 | 3K FC | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 31:15 | 16 | 37 |
| 5 | Equity Bank | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Talanta FC | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 21:14 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Kibera | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 16:19 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Soy United | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 17:15 | 2 | 29 |
| 10 | Nairobi City | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 29 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 29 |
| 12 | Naivas FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 28 |
| 13 | Gucha Stars | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 22:23 | -1 | 25 |
| 14 | Kabati | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 15:19 | -4 | 23 |
| 15 | Luanda Villa | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 16 | Darajani Gogo | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 14:25 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Mwatate United | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 18 |
| 18 | Kisumu All-Stars | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 18 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 13:30 | -17 | 16 |
| 20 | MCF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Relegation
