Ceares vs Covadonga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
16/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 3', 1 - 0, ,
  • 19', 🟥,
  • 20', 2 - 0, ,
  • 33', (Pen),
  • 33', 2 - 1, Cueto G. ,
  • 44', 2 - 2, Trabanco A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Ceares
28.5%
Draw
30.1%
Covadonga
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.7% 26.7% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 26.5% 54%

Ceares - Covadonga Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.46
(4.6)
3.27
(3.4)
2.38
(1.69)
1.5%
(10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ceares won 2.
  • Ceares has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Covadonga is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
  • In this match, Covadonga is the team to beat.
  • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ceares won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Ceares won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ceares - Covadonga were as follows:
06.04.2025 Covadonga - Ceares 1:0
24.11.2024 Ceares - Covadonga 3:1
26.08.2023 Ceares - Covadonga 1:0
16.04.2023 Covadonga - Ceares 3:1
17.12.2022 Ceares - Covadonga 0:3
Latest results of Ceares
09.11.2025 Avilés Stadium - Ceares 0:0
02.11.2025 Ceares - Llanera 0:0
26.10.2025 Real Titánico - Ceares 0:5
19.10.2025 Ceares - Llanes 1:2
Latest results of Covadonga
02.11.2025 Club Siero - Covadonga 2:1
26.10.2025 Covadonga - Navarro 2:0
11.10.2025 Covadonga - Praviano 2:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Llanera15123033:92439
2Covadonga15113131:112036
3Caudal Deportivo1576226:19727
4Mosconia1574424:121225
5Club Siero1573524:19524
6L'Entregu1573519:19024
7Gijon B1558230:151523
8EI San Martin1565421:19223
9Union Club Ceares1556418:12621
10Llanes1556419:18121
11CD Colunga1563620:28-821
12Praviano1546515:14118
13Aviles Stadium152678:21-1312
14SD Navarro CF1525816:25-911
15Gijon Industrial1524910:22-1210
16Lenense1516813:28-159
17Tuilla15231012:28-169
18Real Titanico1516811:31-209

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