Binga vs Stade Malien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premiere Division - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Binga
27.1%
Draw
34%
Stade Malien
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 31.1% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 30.5% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Binga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Binga's form might have worsened.
  • Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binga than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Binga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stade Malien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Binga - Stade Malien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.32
    (2.63)
    2.64
    (2.91)
    2.31
    (2.63)
    11.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 7).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Binga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Binga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Binga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Binga - Stade Malien were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Binga - Stade Malien 0:4
    17.04.2024 Stade Malien - Binga 3:2
    17.12.2022 Binga - Stade Malien 0:3
    Latest results of Binga
    27.02.2026 Binga - Bougouni 0:1
    18.02.2026 Binga - Djoliba 0:1
    07.02.2026 Onze Créateurs - Binga 2:2
    11.01.2026 Binga - Korofina 2:0
    Latest results of Stade Malien
    01.03.2026 Stade Malien - Real Bamako 0:1
    22.02.2026 Stade Malien - Bakaridjan 0:0
    14.02.2026 Simba - Stade Malien 1:0
    Malian Première Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Bamako1383217:61127
    2Djoliba1282216:41226
    3Diarra1374216:7925
    4Binga1373317:9824
    5USFAS Bamako1464416:11522
    6Korofina1354416:11519
    7Stade Malien125438:6219
    8Bougouba1445510:13-317
    9Foot Elite1443712:23-1115
    10Bakaridjan143567:13-614
    11Onze Createurs143479:13-413
    12Derby Academie1411036:10-413
    13US Bougouni143295:20-1511
    14Mali Coura142399:18-99

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