Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Andrey Rublev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/02/2026 at 11:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Doha, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 1
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
swedenSwedenTV4 Tennis
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
31
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
68%59%
1st serve points won
63% (41/65)64% (30/47)
2nd serve points won
48% (15/31)41% (13/32)
Break Points Saved
69% (9/13)58% (7/12)
1st return points won
38% (18/47)38% (25/65)
2nd return points won
59% (19/32)52% (16/31)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)31% (4/13)
Winners
2921
Unforced errors
3330
Net points won
71% (15/21)64% (14/22)
Service Points Won
57% (55/96)54% (43/80)
Return Points Won
46% (37/80)43% (41/96)
Total Points Won
52% (92/176)48% (84/176)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
05
Service games won
64% (7/11)55% (6/11)
Return games won
45% (5/11)36% (4/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
83.5%
Andrey Rublev
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
83.3% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Andrey Rublev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.13)

    5.83
    (5.6)
    4.6%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Rublev will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3.5 Games - Rublev (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Rublev (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rublev (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Rublev is ranked ATP: 14.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 4.
    • Alcaraz Garfia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Rublev is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 1:2
    06.07.2025 Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 1:3
    13.11.2024 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev 2:0
    01.05.2024 Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 2:1
    15.11.2023 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev 2:0
    Latest results of Andrey Rublev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    2Royer V.Herbert P. (Q)2 : 0
    3Fucsovics M.Habib H. (WC)2 : 0
    4Mochizuki S.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (4)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Echargui M. (WC)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    7Humbert U.Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    9Lehecka J. (8)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    10Bergs Z.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 1
    11Fils A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    12Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Halys Q. (LL)1 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Choinski J. (Q)2 : 1
    14Zhang Z. (PR)Carballes Baena R. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zayid M. S. (WC)Popyrin A.0 : 2
    16Machac T.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Royer V.2 : 0
    2Fucsovics M.Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (4)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    4Marozsan F.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5Lehecka J. (8)Bergs Z.2 : 0
    6Fils A.Halys Q.2 : 0
    7Mensik J. (6)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    8Popyrin A.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Khachanov K. (7)2 : 1
    2Tsitsipas S.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3Lehecka J. (8)Fils A.0 : 2
    4Mensik J. (6)Sinner J. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Rublev A. (5)2 : 0
    2Fils A.Mensik J. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Fils A.2 : 0