Marbella vs Real Jaén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Marbella - Real Jaén
Result
1:0
23/04/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 9 - ROUND 30

Chances of winning


Marbella
36.6%
Draw
30.2%
Real Jaén
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 27% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1% 26% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marbella's form might have worsened.
  • Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Jaén's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marbella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Jaén, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marbella - Real Jaén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (1.73)
    3
    (3.33)
    2.73
    (4.3)
    10.5%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Marbella won 2.
    • Marbella in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Jaén is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Jaén have a series of home games.
    • Marbella will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Marbella won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Marbella won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marbella - Real Jaén were as follows:
    18.12.2022 Real Jaén - Marbella 2:0
    Latest results of Marbella
    16.04.2023 Huétor Tájar - Marbella 0:4
    01.04.2023 Marbella - Huracán Melilla 10:0
    26.03.2023 Almeria B - Marbella 0:3
    19.03.2023 Marbella - Malaga B 2:0
    12.03.2023 Arenas Armilla - Marbella 0:2
    Latest results of Real Jaén
    16.04.2023 Real Jaén - Málaga City 4:1
    23.03.2023 Real Jaén - Getafe 2:3
    19.03.2023 Real Jaén - Almeria B 1:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2