Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Women - Round 14
- Referee: Ubaldi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (229/334) | 50% (103/204) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (229/334) | 50% (103/204) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/52) | 22% (16/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (73/131) | 41% (35/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 92% (23/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', Peruzzo L. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Bahr E. ⚽, Ferrara A. (A),
- 19', Mele C. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Pirone V. ⚽, Regazzoli A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Mele C. ↓, Curraj A. ↑,
- 55', Pastrenge L. ↓, Petrara M. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 1, Massimino M. ⚽, Pellegrino C. G. (A),
- 64', Regazzoli A. ↓, Di Giammarino V. ↑,
- 69', Acuti A. ↓, Sondengaard A. ↑,
- 69', Cinotti N. ↓, Giacobbo G. ↑,
- 82', Georgsdottir B. ↓, Bargi C. ↑,
- 82', Ferrara A. ↓, Monterubbiano V. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Pirone V. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Ternana
43.1% | Draw
26.7% | Genoa
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Ternana - Genoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.25) |
3.44 ↑
(3.24) |
3.04 ↑
(2.86) |
8.9%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Women and 11).
- Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Genoa?
Ternana has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Ternana?
Genoa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Genoa were as follows:
18.10.2025
Genoa
-
Ternana
3:1
10.09.2023
Genoa
-
Ternana
0:5
18.12.2022
Genoa
-
Ternana
1:1
Latest results of Ternana
Italian Serie A Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AS Roma W | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 29:14 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Inter W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 33:15 | 18 | 30 |
| 3 | Juventus W | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22:10 | 12 | 28 |
| 4 | Napoli W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Lazio W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Fiorentina W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | Como W | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 23 |
| 8 | AC Milan W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 21 |
| 9 | Sassuolo W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
| 10 | Ternana W | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 11 |
| 11 | Parma W | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Genoa W | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13:31 | -18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Women
