Luca Brecel vs Mark Selby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:6
15/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: Welsh Open - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Luca Brecel
37.6%
Mark Selby
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 63.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Brecel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Mark Selby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Brecel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Selby than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Luca Brecel - Mark Selby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.62)

    1.51
    (1.51)
    6.9%
    (4.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Brecel is ranked World Ranking: 7. Selby is ranked World Ranking: 4.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Brecel won 1.
    • Brecel is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Selby is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Selby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Selby will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Our prediction for today's Selby to win the game is with odds 1.51.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Brecel won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 44:52 (average 4:4.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Brecel - Mark Selby were as follows:
    01.05.2023 Luca Brecel - Mark Selby 18:15
    18.12.2022 Mark Selby - Luca Brecel 9:6
    Latest results of Luca Brecel
    Latest results of Mark Selby
    Draw
    Main

    1/32-finals
    1Selby M.Jun J.3 : 4
    2Yuan S.Leclercq J.4 : 3
    3Si JiahuiWilliams R.2 : 4
    4Maguire S.Walden R.4 : 3
    5O'Connor J.Hill A.4 : 0
    6Wu Y.Mertens B.4 : 0
    7Lei P.Emery D.3 : 4
    8Allen M.Grace D.2 : 4
    9Williams M.Holt M.4 : 2
    10Ford T.O'Donnell M.2 : 4
    11Hawkins B.Lilley D.4 : 3
    12Pang J.Kowalski A.4 : 2
    13Carter A.McGill A.3 : 4
    14Jones JakHighfield L.4 : 1
    15Vafaei H.Zizins A.4 : 1
    16Robertson N.Szubarczyk M.4 : 1
    17Wilson K.Liu H.4 : 1
    18Zhou Y.Ursenbacher A.4 : 0
    19Wilson G.Sarkhosh A.4 : 0
    20Slessor E.Craigie S.3 : 4
    21Zhang A.Mann M.4 : 2
    22Wakelin C.Pullen L.3 : 4
    23Day R.Revesz B.3 : 4
    24Higgins J.Wenwei L.4 : 1
    25Murphy S.Chang B.0 : 4
    26Page J.Brecel L.4 : 0
    27Xiao G.Zehuang L.4 : 3
    28Lisowski J.Heathcote L.4 : 2
    29Gilbert D.McGuigan R.4 : 1
    30Bingham S.Yang G.4 : 2
    31Robertson J.Moody S.0 : 4
    32Zhao X.Fan Z.4 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1Jun J.Yuan S.4 : 0
    2Williams R.Maguire S.4 : 3
    3O'Connor J.Wu Y.2 : 4
    4Emery D.Grace D.1 : 4
    5Williams M.O'Donnell M.4 : 1
    6Hawkins B.Pang J.4 : 2
    7McGill A.Jones Jak2 : 4
    8Vafaei H.Robertson N.1 : 4
    9Wilson K.Zhou Y.1 : 4
    10Wilson G.Craigie S.1 : 4
    11Zhang A.Pullen L.4 : 2
    12Revesz B.Higgins J.3 : 4
    13Chang B.Page J.3 : 4
    14Xiao G.Lisowski J.3 : 4
    15Gilbert D.Bingham S.2 : 4
    16Moody S.Zhao X.2 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1Jun J.Williams R.4 : 1
    2Wu Y.Grace D.4 : 0
    3Williams M.Hawkins B.2 : 4
    4Jones JakRobertson N.3 : 4
    5Zhou Y.Craigie S.4 : 1
    6Zhang A.Higgins J.2 : 4
    7Page J.Lisowski J.2 : 4
    8Bingham S.Zhao X.4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Jun J.Wu Y.4 : 5
    2Hawkins B.Robertson N.5 : 3
    3Zhou Y.Higgins J.0 : 5
    4Lisowski J.Bingham S.5 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Wu Y.Hawkins B.
    2Higgins J.Lisowski J.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2