Barrow vs Salford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 24
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.36
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
71% (281/395)66% (192/293)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.11
Total shots
913
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1530
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
910
Passes
71% (281/395)66% (192/293)
Long passes
45% (38/85)29% (22/77)
Passes in final third
62% (93/149)52% (53/101)
Crosses
11% (4/35)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.721.08
Throw-ins
3331
Fouls
109
Tackles
63% (15/24)50% (7/14)
Duels won
7052
Clearances
2441
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.111.17
Goals prevented
-0.890.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Udoh D. , N'Mai K. (A),
  • 15', Oluwo A. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 1, Fletcher I. , Whitfield B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Williams M. 🟨,
  • 58', Stockton C. , Borini F. ,
  • 59', Oluwo A. , Cooper B. ,
  • 69', Longelo-Mbule R. , Berkoe K. ,
  • 70', Austerfield J. , Butcher M. ,
  • 78', Harper R. , Newby E. ,
  • 80', Raglan C. 🟨,
  • 81', Smith S. , Mahoney C. ,
  • 81', Fletcher I. , Cameron I. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, N'Mai K. , Udoh D. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barrow
29.1%
Draw
28.3%
Salford City
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 26.6% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 25.3% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Barrow - Salford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.19
    (3.42)
    3.3
    (3.45)
    2.18
    (1.97)
    7.4%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Barrow - Salford City?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 0.
    • Recent form of Barrow has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Salford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Salford could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Barrow: Canavan N. (Red Card) Foley S. (Surgery) Healey R. (Knee Injury) Smith K. (Ankle Injury) Walker T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Salford: Ashley O. (Inactive) Bird J. (Inactive) Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Harris K. (Inactive) Mnoga H. (International duty) Rose M. (Leg Injury) Woodburn B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Hemmings K. (Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Salford City were as follows:
    01.04.2025 Barrow - Salford City 1:1
    26.12.2024 Salford City - Barrow 3:0
    17.02.2024 Salford City - Barrow 5:3
    28.10.2023 Barrow - Salford City 0:0
    28.02.2023 Barrow - Salford City 1:1
    Latest results of Barrow
    29.12.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Barrow 1:3
    19.12.2025 Barrow - Cheltenham Town 1:2
    13.12.2025 Gillingham - Barrow 2:2
    09.12.2025 Barrow - Tranmere Rovers 0:3
    Latest results of Salford City
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley351912458:352369
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Chesterfield351414755:441156
    7Crewe351681152:411156
    8Grimsby341510949:381155
    9Salford341741347:46155
    10Barnet3514111044:37753
    11Walsall341581142:37553
    12Colchester3413101148:381049
    13Fleetwood341391244:42248
    14Oldham331113936:30646
    15Accrington341371437:36146
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere35981847:62-1535
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Newport35772135:61-2628
    23Barrow33762033:51-1827
    24Harrogate35692025:52-2727

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League