Result
1:2
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 24
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (281/395) | 66% (192/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (281/395) | 66% (192/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (38/85) | 29% (22/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (93/149) | 52% (53/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (4/35) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.89 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Udoh D. ⚽, N'Mai K. (A),
- 15', Oluwo A. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Fletcher I. ⚽, Whitfield B. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Williams M. 🟨,
- 58', Stockton C. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
- 59', Oluwo A. ↓, Cooper B. ↑,
- 69', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Berkoe K. ↑,
- 70', Austerfield J. ↓, Butcher M. ↑,
- 78', Harper R. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 80', Raglan C. 🟨,
- 81', Smith S. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 81', Fletcher I. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, N'Mai K. ⚽, Udoh D. (A),
Chances of winning
Barrow 29.1% | Draw 28.3% | Salford City 42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Barrow - Salford City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.19 ↓ (3.42) |
3.3 ↓ (3.45) |
2.18 ↑ (1.97) |
7.4% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barrow - Salford City?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 0.
- Recent form of Barrow has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Salford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Salford could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Barrow: Canavan N.
(Red Card)
Foley S.
(Surgery)
Healey R.
(Knee Injury)
Smith K.
(Ankle Injury)
Walker T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Salford: Ashley O.
(Inactive)
Bird J.
(Inactive)
Chesters D.
(Knee Injury)
Harris K.
(Inactive)
Mnoga H.
(International duty)
Rose M.
(Leg Injury)
Woodburn B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Hemmings K.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Salford City?
Barrow has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Barrow?
Salford City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Salford City were as follows:
01.04.2025
Barrow
-
Salford City
1:1
26.12.2024
Salford City
-
Barrow
3:0
17.02.2024
Salford City
-
Barrow
5:3
28.10.2023
Barrow
-
Salford City
0:0
28.02.2023
Barrow
-
Salford City
1:1
Latest results of Salford City
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League