Result
18/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France |
 Portugal | Sport TV5 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Chances of winning
Castres
50.4% | Draw
4.3% | Toulouse
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Castres - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(1.87) |
21.86 ↑
(18.5) |
2.02 ↓
(2.09) |
8.9%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 2.
- Toulouse has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Castres may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Castres won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 433:508. (average 21.7:25.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 255:169. (average 28.3:18.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Castres won against Toulouse?
Castres has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Castres?
Toulouse has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castres - Toulouse were as follows:
27.09.2025
Toulouse
-
Castres
59:12
26.04.2025
Toulouse
-
Castres
52:6
05.10.2024
Castres
-
Toulouse
28:23
02.03.2024
Toulouse
-
Castres
33:6
18.11.2023
Castres
-
Toulouse
31:23
Latest results of Castres
Latest results of Toulouse
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 20 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 795:438 | 71 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 591:514 | 59 |
| 3 | Stade Francais Paris | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 623:495 | 59 |
| 4 | Bordeaux Begles | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 656:520 | 59 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 610:452 | 57 |
| 6 | Clermont | 20 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 633:551 | 52 |
| 7 | Racing 92 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 583:606 | 50 |
| 8 | Castres Olympique | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 501:570 | 47 |
| 9 | Stade Rochelais | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 586:519 | 45 |
| 10 | Aviron Bayonnais | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 553:636 | 45 |
| 11 | RC Toulonnais | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 512:618 | 45 |
| 12 | Lyon | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 570:551 | 44 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 20 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 408:563 | 23 |
| 14 | Montauban | 20 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 381:969 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
