Result
3:1
07/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 34
Chances of winning
Tivoli Calcio 18.9% | Draw 26.7% | Paganese 54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tivoli Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tivoli Calcio's form might have worsened.Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paganese's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Tivoli Calcio - Paganese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.87 ↑ (3.58) |
3.45 ↑ (3.34) |
1.69 ↓ (1.78) |
8.8% (14.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tivoli Calcio - Paganese?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tivoli will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Paganese will win (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Recent matches Tivoli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Paganese in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Paganese will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Tivoli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Calcio won against Paganese?
Tivoli Calcio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paganese won against Tivoli Calcio?
Paganese has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tivoli Calcio - Paganese were as follows:
21.12.2022
Paganese
-
Tivoli Calcio
2:0
Latest results of Tivoli Calcio
Latest results of Paganese
Italian Serie D - Group G Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Flaminia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Monastir | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Scafatese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Latte Dolce | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Cassino | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Budoni | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
8 | US Palmese | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
9 | Olbia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
10 | Nocerina | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
11 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
12 | Trastevere Calcio | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Valmontone | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
14 | Albalonga | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
15 | Atl. Lodigiani | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Real Monterotondo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
17 | Ischia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Montespaccato | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )
Relegation