Al-Adalh vs Abha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
11/01/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.341.61
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
516
Shots on target
38
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
45
Passes
70% (198/283)84% (411/490)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
0.341.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.861.52
Total shots
516
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
15
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
49
Shots outside the box
17
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1228
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
51
Free kicks
1213
Passes
70% (198/283)84% (411/490)
Long passes
27% (16/59)59% (37/63)
Passes in final third
53% (38/72)72% (118/163)
Crosses
0% (0/11)20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.181.21
Throw ins
1318
Fouls
1312
Tackles
59% (10/17)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4640
Clearances
2713
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
62
xGOT faced
1.520.86
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', Al Salem R. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Sow S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Turci L. 🟨,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Chivaviro R. ,
  • 67', Al Ghamdi F. , Ibrahim Y. Y. ,
  • 68', Muralha 🟨,
  • 71', Al Jamman A. , Al Marri M. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Al Mutairi M. , Muralha (A),
  • 82', Al Majhad H. , Bukia A. ,
  • 90', Al Jadani A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Al Oufi M. , Al Mousa H. ,
  • 90+2', Al Oufi M. , Al Mousa H. ,
  • 90+4', Muralha , Al Mutairi B. ,
  • 90+9', Al Omaish S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Adalh
13.1%
Draw
22.2%
Abha
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 22.6% 61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16% 22.1% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Adalh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Abha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Adalh than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abha than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Al-Adalh - Abha Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.92
    (5.6)
    4.08
    (4.05)
    1.4
    (1.5)
    10.4%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al-Adalh - Abha?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Abha will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Adalh won 0.
    • Al-Adalh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Abha is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Abha is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Adalh won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Adalh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Adalh - Abha were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Al-Adalh - Abha 2:3
    10.11.2024 Abha - Al-Adalh 3:3
    02.05.2023 Abha - Al-Adalh 1:0
    25.12.2022 Al-Adalh - Abha 0:2
    Latest results of Al-Adalh
    05.01.2026 Al-Anwar - Al-Adalh 4:1
    30.12.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Jabalain 2:1
    25.12.2025 Al Jandal - Al-Adalh 0:3
    20.12.2025 Al-Adalh - Al-Wahda Mecca 1:4
    13.12.2025 Al-Batin - Al-Adalh 1:1
    Latest results of Abha
    05.01.2026 Abha - Al-Diriyah 2:1
    31.12.2025 Al-Batin - Abha 0:1
    26.12.2025 Abha - Al-Taee 3:1
    21.12.2025 Jeddah - Abha 1:1
    12.12.2025 Abha - Al-Ula 2:0
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha28225159:223771
    2Al Diriyah28195468:284062
    3Al-Ula28167560:283255
    4Al-Faisaly281410456:332352
    5Al Orubah28155844:35950
    6Al Jabalain28147749:341549
    7Al Raed28129752:371545
    8Al Zulfi28109938:35339
    9Al Taee281081041:39238
    10Al Bukiryah281141330:40-1037
    11Al Anwar28811942:41135
    12Jeddah288101030:39-934
    13Al Wehda28961342:51-933
    14Al Jandal28781326:48-2229
    15Al Adalah28391634:63-2918
    16Al Arabi28442014:51-3716
    17Al Batin28361929:57-2815
    18Al Jubail28352024:57-3314

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