Result
1:3
27/03/2026 at 23:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (243/363) | 66% (220/334) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 3.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (243/363) | 66% (220/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (21/70) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (79/145) | 59% (68/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 5% (1/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 45 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 86% (19/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 28 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.10 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Brown K. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 1, Hodgson I. ⚽, Dawber C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', Dewey S. ↓, Rossi C. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 2, Allan J. ⚽, Hoban S. (A),
- 75', Lancaster C. ↓, Johnson H. M. ↑,
- 79', Hodgson I. ↓, Bowler K. ↑,
- 81', Allan J. ↓, Allan L. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 3, Brown K. ⚽, Johnson H. M. (A),
- 84', Condon E. ↓, Nicholas M. ↑,
- 87', Brown K. ↓, Page O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Adelaide United
50.4% | Draw
23% | Newcastle Jets
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide United's form might have worsened.Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Jets's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Jets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.55) |
4.03 ↓
(4.2) |
3.49 ↓
(4.6) |
7.8%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 2.
- Adelaide United is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Newcastle Jets's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newcastle Jets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Adelaide United has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Adelaide United is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide United won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:36. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide United won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Adelaide United won against Newcastle Jets?
Adelaide United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Adelaide United?
Newcastle Jets has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets were as follows:
21.01.2026
Newcastle Jets
-
Adelaide United
1:2
08.01.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Adelaide United
3:3
08.12.2024
Adelaide United
-
Newcastle Jets
2:0
29.03.2024
Adelaide United
-
Newcastle Jets
0:8
31.12.2023
Newcastle Jets
-
Adelaide United
3:1
Latest results of Adelaide United
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League Women Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 40 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 38:17 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Canberra W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30:24 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 37:39 | -2 | 31 |
| 5 | Adelaide W | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 28 |
| 8 | Perth W | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 30:36 | -6 | 23 |
| 10 | Sydney W | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers W | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18:34 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
