Result
 
                    3:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        06/03/2025 at  15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  JAMAICA: Premier League - Round 28
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 34% | 66% | 
| Goal Attempts | 
|---|
| 4 | 6 | 
| Shots on Goal | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Shots off Goal | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 3 | 10 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 0 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 33', Clarke S. 🟨, 
 - 40', Murray O. 🟨, 
 - 45+1', 1 - 0, Chambers A. ⚽, 
 - 2nd Half (2 - 2)
 - 46', Morgan H. ↓, Oldfield R. ↑, 
 - 47', Campbell R. 🟨, 
 - 53', Barnett S. 🟨, 
 - 67', Chambers A. ↓, Walker L. ↑, 
 - 67', Clarke C. ↓, Morrison J. ↑, 
 - 71', 2 - 0, Barnett S. ⚽, 
 - 74', 2 - 1,  ⚽, 
 - 77', 3 - 1, Barnett S. ⚽, 
 - 84', 3 - 2, Oldfield R. ⚽, 
 - 87', Brown D. ↓, Campbell S. ↑, 
 - 87', Jameison J. ↓, Pascoe F. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Humble Lions  23% | Draw  26.3% | Tivoli Gardens  50.6% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Humble Lions - Tivoli Gardens Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   3.96 ↑ (3.79) | 
			   3.46 ↓ (3.49) | 
			   1.8 ↓ (1.84) | 
			   9.7% (9.3%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Humble Lions - Tivoli Gardens?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Tivoli Gardens will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Last 5 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 1. 
 - Humble Lions is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - Recent matches Tivoli Gardens is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - In this match Tivoli Gardens is a favorite.
 - Last 19 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:26 (average 1.1:1.4). 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Humble Lions won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:8 (average 1.2:0.9).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Humble Lions won against Tivoli Gardens?
                    
                    
                        
                            Humble Lions has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Gardens won against Humble Lions?
                    
                    
                        
                             Tivoli Gardens has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Humble Lions - Tivoli Gardens were as follows:
                                                        
                                29.12.2024 
                                Tivoli Gardens 
                                - 
                                Humble Lions 
                                5:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.09.2024 
                                Humble Lions 
                                - 
                                Tivoli Gardens 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                11.02.2024 
                                Humble Lions 
                                - 
                                Tivoli Gardens 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.11.2023 
                                Tivoli Gardens 
                                - 
                                Humble Lions 
                                4:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.03.2023 
                                Tivoli Gardens 
                                - 
                                Humble Lions 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Humble Lions                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Tivoli Gardens                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Jamaica National Premier League Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Montego Bay | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 22 | 
| 2 | Portmore | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 18 | 
| 3 | Racing United | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 15 | 
| 4 | Cavalier | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 | 
| 5 | Waterhouse | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 | 
| 6 | Tivoli | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 | 
| 7 | Chapelton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 | 
| 8 | Mount Pleasant | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 | 
| 9 | Arnett Gardens | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 9 | 
| 10 | Treasure Beach | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 | 
| 11 | Dunbeholden | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 8 | 
| 12 | Harbour View | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | 
| 13 | Molynes | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 5 | 
| 14 | Spanish Town Police | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3:18 | -15 | 2 | 
      Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation