Result
0:2
11/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 30
- Referee: Bos A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
Canada | Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
India | Eurosport, JioTV app |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | Como TV |
Kenya | Gotv |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Polsat Sport Premium 1 |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
Spain | GolStadium |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.00 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (282/352) | 89% (508/572) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (282/352) | 89% (508/572) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 60% (21/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (63/94) | 81% (138/170) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Flamingo R. 🟨,
- 21', Quintero T. 🟨,
- 40', Til G. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Pepi R. ⚽, Til G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Mito S. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 60', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 64', Kleijn M. ↓, Vianello G. ↑,
- 65', Wanner P. 🟨,
- 70', Perisic I. ↓, Driouech C. ↑,
- 70', Fernandez N. ↓, van den Berg J. ↑,
- 73', van den Berg J. 🟨,
- 77', Sildillia K. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 2, Saibari I. ⚽, Driouech C. (A),
- 81', Santos A. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
- 81', Sambo S. ↓, Bakari S. ↑,
- 81', Baas J. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
- 81', Saibari I. ↓, Boadu M. ↑,
- 82', Pepi R. ↓, Bajraktarevic E. ↑,
- 87', Flamingo R. ↓, Merien F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sparta Rotterdam 27.9% | Draw 22.5% | PSV Eindhoven 49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sparta Rotterdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sparta Rotterdam's performance.PSV Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PSV Eindhoven might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sparta Rotterdam that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that PSV Eindhoven could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.4 ↓ (4.53) |
4.23 ↑ (4.05) |
1.91 ↑ (1.66) |
5.3% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
PSV Eindhoven will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, PSV is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sparta Rotterdam: Martes L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in PSV: Dest S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Plea A.
(Knee Injury)
Schouten J.
(Knee Injury)
van Bommel R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sparta Rotterdam won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 17:41. (average 0.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Rotterdam won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.2:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Sparta Rotterdam won against PSV Eindhoven?
Sparta Rotterdam has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has PSV Eindhoven won against Sparta Rotterdam?
PSV Eindhoven has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam - PSV Eindhoven were as follows:
09.08.2025
PSV Eindhoven
-
Sparta Rotterdam
6:1
18.05.2025
Sparta Rotterdam
-
PSV Eindhoven
1:3
05.10.2024
PSV Eindhoven
-
Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
05.05.2024
PSV Eindhoven
-
Sparta Rotterdam
4:2
08.10.2023
Sparta Rotterdam
-
PSV Eindhoven
0:4
Latest results of Sparta Rotterdam
Latest results of PSV Eindhoven
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal